Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Snowfan]

GFS has backside snow in AL/GA this run.

 

[KyloG]

Dallas getting hit hard on the GFS. Brent still around?

 

[Storm5]

Omgd looks like it’s cutting off over Texas could be a sexy run


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[Snowfan]

GFS has precip breaking out @168 hours.

 

[cyclogent]

Damn, son!

 

[KyloG]

This may whiff but this looks promising for day 7 look.

 

[KyloG]

Trends for another TN Valley event.

 

[KyloG]

If we can get this look at day 5 I would be happy. With how progressive the GFS has been...

 

[GeorgiaGirl]

The wave behind the TN Valley one might miss on this run but we still look to be in a good spot. 850s look good, suppression at this point works for sure.

 

[SD]

If we can get this look at day 5 I would be happy. With how progressive the GFS has been...

View attachment 60383

 

[Ron Burgundy]

GFS has backside snow in AL/GA this run. View attachment 60374

FFC has my grid forecast with a 30% chance of showers and a low of 32 Thursday night fwiw. Good start 7 days out at least.

 

[SD]

Canadian is rolling everything into 1 system might even rain for @Tarheel1 lol

 

[Snowfan]

Canadian is rolling everything into 1 system might even rain for @Tarheel1 lol

It even delivers snow for @Brent this run.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s a good look for that range

 

[SD]

That’s a good look for that range View attachment 60388

These cod maps are so sensitive. The soundings are not good/dry below 800

Edit I lied they are dry below 600

 

[Snowfan]

These cod maps are so sensitive. The soundings are not good/dry below 800

Here's what TT has it at:

 

[SD]

Here's what TT has it at:

The only thing I can figure is they are trying to show simulated reflectivity vs what's actually reaching the sfc.

Edit yep the radar option on TT has precip farther NW

 

[KyloG]

12z Para GFS little slower. Atleast I think this is the new one.

 

[Webberweather53]

Displacement is often better then a split, correct ?

Eh I don’t think it makes a difference for us in terms of what the anomalies produce at the surface. Displacement is arguably better simply because the tropospheric pattern that creates it is usually more El Niño like and often features stronger tropospheric North Atlantic blocking (which is the tropospheric center of the AO loading field). Thus I am not necessarily saying displacement ssw is the horse pulling the cart, more or less it’s guilty by association.

 

[whatalife]

Nice wall going up out west. A little to far east imo but nice to see.

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