pretty interesting.. learnt a thing or two... explained the difference between a greenland block vs a n. atlantic block.. subtle changes up there can screw the east coast out of a storm:
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Bruh no ??
Not only is that a absolutely disgusting look for severe weather and reminiscent of something in the early 2010s, but it’s looks like the southeast ridge will be a problem this run, where did this come from ??
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
It's bound to happen eventually. King euro had to deliver the news earlyNot only is that a absolutely disgusting look for severe weather and reminiscent of something in the early 2010s, but it’s looks like the southeast ridge will be a problem this run, where did this come from
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Surprisingly it doesn’t look that bad, for a minute it almost looked like the SER was about to flex and block 
With this look we need northern stream interaction, stuff with this look is to marginal, but at least it isn’t terrible like I thought it would be 
It seems that the WAR, actually doesn’t affect the system similar to the GFS, and won’t as long as we have that piece further east to prevent the pull of unstable air. Not too far off, but we need to get rid of that pesky Great Lakes low.
Would phasing them be good or would it hurt ? and yeah that block comes in clutch for keeping that system out in the Atlantic, I wanna bet if we didn’t have the block, we would be having a absolutely raging southeast ridge, that return flow gave me nightmares lol
Looks like all this is connected to some extension of the jet in the North Pacific towards the PNA region which leads to some temp +PNA and digs something towards our west, it’s not a bad look at all, all comes down to timing with this sort of look and any type of interaction, as long as we have that block, shouldn’t see much of any dominant southeast ridge/WAR, but that could change, especially with the western Atlantic ridge 
We may have to contend with some more severe weather around New Years, nice double barrel jet signature appearing on the EPS associated with the pretty active STJ with this neutrally/negatively tilted southern stream wave, also with a stout transient southeast ridge which returns moisture 
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The OPs are even further stout with this except for the GFS which is more strung out (we know what that probably is )
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Given the amped nature Of this and how slow it is, warm sector recovery should be much better for areas farther west, even into Dixie alley
CIPS analogs already has a stout signal, even some significant severe weather
For areas further East its a wildcard with how strong the southeast Canada vortex/CAD is, that could lessen the threat (stronger CAD) or could increase it (weaker CAD but boundary in place nearby), this is something to really watch over the next few days as it looks more widespread, kinda want to start a thread on this given its under day 7
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The OPs are even further stout with this except for the GFS which is more strung out (we know what that probably is )
——————————————————————
Given the amped nature Of this and how slow it is, warm sector recovery should be much better for areas farther west, even into Dixie alley
CIPS analogs already has a stout signal, even some significant severe weather
For areas further East its a wildcard with how strong the southeast Canada vortex/CAD is, that could lessen the threat (stronger CAD) or could increase it (weaker CAD but boundary in place nearby), this is something to really watch over the next few days as it looks more widespread, kinda want to start a thread on this given its under day 7
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Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Today's 0z Euro is ~10C warmer at 10mb than yesterday's 0z.
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Classic displacement SSWE. The entire polar vortex gets shoved off the pole & out of the arctic.
Displacement is often better then a split, correct ?
Not bad 
Still hasn’t disappeared or went to crap yet 
BHS1975
Member
Euro needs to phase or it's too warm.
Finally, a serviceable look. Hope that continues.Only 378 hours away...
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DadOfJax
Member
You complain more than anyone this board. It’s tiring.
Agreed. Seems like some are forgetting we have 2 threads where you can complain all you want.