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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Either the Euro will cave to Gfs. Or Gfs will cave to euro. We shall see but this would be why we should hold off creating a thread


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Seems like we always have one model that is way off and on it's own with these threats. Can't get any kind of consensus with them all.
 
Even the NAM is nowhere close to the GFS at the end of its run. The so far is by itself.
If anything the NAM would be gearing up to look better than the EURO if it went out that far. It’s got the wave a bit west of the EURO which would translate to a further southerly track and a transfer to the coast further south as well
 
Concerning that the GFS is not even close to a hint of winter weather this weekend. I bet Euro begins to back off some at 0z! They just to far apart somewhere in the middle of the Euro and GFS is probably where we end up.
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I might agree if it was just the euro versus the gfs but it’s Euro/ICON/Canadian against the GFS.
 
Temps still slowly creeping upwards here . 48 at 1051. Take that NAM ! Bet you didn’t expect that huh?
 
Come on ukmet. Im tired. Swear its taking forever on pivotal. Anyone got it for wed night an sunday?
Frosty whats jb saying about sunday?
Big storm! But he's really not nailed down where he thinks the boundaries will be, that I've heard or seen. Seems He's leaning more Mid Atlantic to NE. Surprise! lol.
 
Lmaoooo man y’all really got to stop. Euro folding to the GFS in the medium range? Okay man you got it

Fold probably wrong word to use. But I expect to see less in the upstate this run.


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this run looks a little bit worse so far, we don’t want to move that thing to far offshore, need some confluence around the GLs to keep the system shoved south
 
Damn if you get a -tilt with this it’s game on for a big lol coastal low, we’re trending it towards a hybrid setup View attachment 68374View attachment 68375View attachment 68376

I think we'll see the Euro look better as we get closer just like with the storm tonight into tomorrow. I still think it is better with what actually happens than the GFS, but it just has slower trends than the GFS. GFS seems to latch on one solution and hold on to it forever or make huge jumps. Euro seems to be more gradual with its trends.
 
Northern MTNs place to be next 6 days. 3-6 tonight
Butload sunday morning and backside upslope sunday night till wed morning next week.

Rays for tonight storm
 

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