Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Going to be freezing our balls off boys
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If I can't get snow then I'll take bona fide cold. Maybe it will at least feel like winter even if it doesn't look like it. Bring it!

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

Going to be freezing our balls off boys
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I took a snapshot of it just to see how close it will be to reality in 15 days.

 

[Arcc]

Closed 558dm ridge over Greenland anyone?

 

[KyloG]

An Atlanta pattern incoming?

 

[GaWx]

It is always much better to use ensemble means, especially Euro ens mean, to get the best feel for how cold or mild temps will likely be, especially after day 7. These GFS operational maps out past day 10 are little more than entertainment/model cartoons. And that’s not even talking about storms, which are near worthless on the GFS day 10+.

 

[Avalanche]

Joiless Januweary.

Good grief. Weary as in tired of model watching for nothing. Its just a play on the month January. Januweary. Oh, joiless is meant to be Joyless. Typo. My bad.

 

[KyloG]

Finally, legit cold with a legit pattern.

 

[KyloG]

Past 3 0z/12z runs of the GEFS.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Seems like that -NAO just gets stronger the closer you go towards it, I’m willing it bet it sticks around, it’s key to delaying the southeast ridge as well

 

[dsaur]

It is always much better to use ensemble means, especially Euro ens mean, to get the best feel for how cold or mild temps will likely be, especially after day 7. These GFS operational maps out past day 10 are little more than entertainment/model cartoons. And that’s not even talking about storms, which are near worthless on the GFS day 10+.

My sleet look out system is buzzing, but my zrain warning system is too. This could be a glorious period or a hellish period, lol, or a glorious hellish period The moles are chattering, shivering and wearing hard hats..if that helps.

 

[Brick Tamland]

Finally, legit cold with a legit pattern.

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8 days away. Fingers crossed.

 

[SnowNiner]

Finally, legit cold with a legit pattern.

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That's it. That's the pattern, with no ridging off the east coast to boot. Probably our next (first?) window.

True strong -NAO will be key to keep the SE ridge at bay after that though.

 

[Tarheel1]

Jan 20th=$$$$
Miller A, ‘88 redux

 

[deltadog03]

EURO bringing a shot of nasty cold late next week

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[deltadog03]

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I wouldn't be surprised.....It's been the trend this winter...If that somehow backs up closer to us and maybe get lucky?

 

[Rain Cold]

Man those are some weak sauce highs dropping down. Where's my high pressure??!!

 

[deltadog03]

Man those are some weak sauce highs dropping down. Where's my high pressure??!!

I agree...I thought we would see a stronger high dropping down with that.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I wouldn't be surprised.....It's been the trend this winter...If that somehow backs up closer to us and maybe get lucky?

Hopefully, actual cold with it to

 

[weatherfide]

My sleet look out system is buzzing, but my zrain warning system is too. This could be a glorious period or a hellish period, lol, or a glorious hellish period The moles are chattering, shivering and wearing hard hats..if that helps.

Yes, it looks like our best (maybe only?) shot will be third week in January. Guidance appears to be consistent at this point. Hopefully some fun model watching next week!