Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Myfrotho704_]

View attachment 67691

Why oh why did we have to get this ruined by that stupid cinnabon in Canada

Lol at least it didn’t go up to PA

 

[POWERSTROKE]

Most of us will have to wait for STORM #3 the one after Thursday's storm! Per James Baker.........................?

?

 

[snowlover91]

If the TPV continues shifting south, we may see a weaker/flatter look like the ICON has IMO. The chance of it shearing the energy out and preventing a bomb is pretty high. I just don’t see a way at this point to shift the system south enough without also shearing it out into a weaker wave like the ICON has.

Looks like this is the case... based on the trends today.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[SD]

Lol at least it didn’t go up to PA

I guess. This one is probably a bigger kick in the nuts than a NW trend. We've invented a new way to suck

 

[RBR71]

#keephopealive

 

[Myfrotho704_]

@metwannabe id be feeling good about some snow falling, accums are a question however

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I guess. This one is probably a bigger kick in the nuts than a NW trend. We've invented a new way to suck

We invent ways to suck every year, we just made this one very fitting for 2021

 

[RBR71]

@metwannabe id be feeling good about some snow falling, accums are a question however View attachment 67696

Yeah any real chance at accums was a late blooming bomb and getting a glancing blow from a deform band. This flat system is just some backend novelties

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[KyloG]

I guess. This one is probably a bigger kick in the nuts than a NW trend. We've invented a new way to suck

I would rather have it go north and the MA to the NE get a blizzard. Oh well...we’ve had winters like this before and survived.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I would rather have it go north and the MA to the NE get a blizzard. Oh well...we’ve had winters like this before and survived.

At first I was like huh, but then I realized, there snow cover = our glory

 

[snowlover91]

Well yes the exact amounts sure but you can not deny that this setup isn’t similar because it 100% is. Take the Mar 1927 storm cut the totals by 2/3rds or what not you’re probably not too unreasonable in terms of expectations. That of course is still a lot of snow.

Been saying this all along but if If we play all our cards right, a mar 1927 lite storm is on the table

Looks like we will be lucky to even get flurries outside the mountains at this point. GFS has very little accumulating snow outside the mountains.

 

[KyloG]

Tough to see this on a model run in heart of winter, stout -NAO and ...cool rain.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks like we will be lucky to even get flurries outside the mountains at this point. GFS has very little accumulating snow even in the mountains. View attachment 67699

The models really did look good a few days ago, dang

 

[snowlover91]

The models really did look good a few days ago, dang

Yep it’s crazy how one little chunk of energy ruined this chance for us. Always something but that’s why we don’t see much snow here in the south.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Gfs isn't even close with the second system.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Disappointing.

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Disappointing. View attachment 67702View attachment 67703

Rates will overcome

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Hug the gefs, it’s all we have left

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Hug the gefs, it’s all we have left View attachment 67705View attachment 67706

Don't forget about the para!

 

[BufordWX]

Nice little noise maker passing by! Gotta love some elevated storms with temperatures in the 40s.

 

[jjwxman]

Nice little noise maker passing by! Gotta love some elevated storms with temperatures in the 40s.View attachment 67709

I miss the sound of thunder. If it’s not going to snow can we just skip to April, at least in the temperature department.


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[Myfrotho704_]

Wedges

 

[NCSNOW]

Ugh

View attachment 67687

View attachment 67688

540 line in columbia and we still rain lol.

 

[snowlover91]

Well the UK is UGLY.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

No model support except for the GEFS But the v16

 

[snowlover91]

Model shifts tonight have been drier, warmer and worse for snow chances in NC. I just don’t see much of a mechanism to change things at this point. The energy pressing down is keeping this system weak as it crosses the area and the faster timing has hurt too.

 

[snowlover91]

This sums up how I feel about the system right now.

 

[BIG FROSTY]

540 line in columbia and we still rain lol.

Unbelievable our luck! #smh

 

[accu35]

Boone should do well so I'll be there Wednesday/Thursday

 

[NorthDFWwx]

Welp, the cap is holding serve for now. The convection that's out there looks unimpressive so far.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

I actually don’t see why everyone’s jumping ship I think what the Gefs and Gfs v16 are seeing is that the potential here is big it’s only a few degrees from being a quick paste for NC folks .. 850s looks awfully cold I can’t stand to think that would translate to rain at the surface .. storms are always a bit colder I mean hell we got sleet tonight?! Like huh?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I’m not even excited but the other ensembles are slowly getting better for the other system
12z
00z12z
00z

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[BufordWX]

Possible incoming... warned for up to 2 inch hail. Let’s see if it holds on.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Euro still shows the second system

 

[BufordWX]

Possible incoming... warned for up to 2 inch hail. Let’s see if it holds on.View attachment 67727

 

[Jrips2710]

crazy we are not far off from the meat of severe season. I say bring it on unless we get some true winter threats the next few weeks. Good luck tonight man @BufordWX