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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

One thing I've been seeing semi-consistently across several runs of the GEFS & EPS the last few days is the tendency for lower heights in the Pacific NW and Canadian Rockies in the medium range >>> less +PNA. Not necessarily a bad thing though for an overrunning setup as you want some WSW aloft to get any substantial moisture involved.

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At this point forward in January, gonna have to start watching these waves riding up & over the ridge near British Columbia. The recent trends in the models towards a shorter west coast ridge in the medium-extended probably helps us a little as these disturbances won't have to dig quite as far south to make something happen down here.

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Not a bad look at all post 1/15 we start introducing Arctic/polar air and we have a slowly retrograding western ridge axis and some hints of a true -NAO. Initially it's a look that's biased east but over time it becomes a full region look. We probably have about a 15 day window here before we retrograde into a SE ridge unless we just hit the jackpot and it lingers around
 
I thought the pattern was trending good for southeast snow in January from what I had been hearing on the news? But both storms that had a chance tomorrow and Monday seem to be nothing for upstate sc. Are we gonna have better chances coming up?
 
Stephenb888 said:
I thought the pattern was trending good for southeast snow in January from what I had been hearing on the news? But both storms that had a chance tomorrow and Monday seem to be nothing for upstate sc. Are we gonna have better chances coming up?
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This has been addressed in numerous posts this morning
 
Stephenb888 said:
I thought the pattern was trending good for southeast snow in January from what I had been hearing on the news? But both storms that had a chance tomorrow and Monday seem to be nothing for upstate sc. Are we gonna have better chances coming up?
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Probably without fans/limited attendance
 
Webberweather53 said:
Ew don't like that. Really wanna see blocking north of Alaska to drive big cold highs into the CONUS. It's a little colder than the pattern we have now but this isn't all that great verbatim. Thankfully just the op Euro run

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So it’s basically that pattern we’re dealing with now.... great
 
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