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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January


Yup, that trough over the midwest eventually swings through and gives a good cold push. I'd rather watch for an event on the backside of that cold air push (as the trough moves into a 50/50 position). GFS did show a shortwave similar to what I'm imagining but it'd need to be a lot further south or have some southern stream support or something.
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Used to be when you see a storm moving east down in TX, AR with snow on the northern side, you'd expect winter precip east of the mountains. Nice to see those storm tracks show up again, but we suck for cold air. We'll need to wait I guess until the arctic opens up around the 20th. Except that's when the SE ridge wants to poke up. Not sure I see a win here.
 
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