V16 been listening to me, concord NC lollipop 
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
stephend122080
Member
12z GFS parallel was probably the closest any other run has come to last night's 00z UKMET. The southern wave was just a tad faster, but otherwise very similar.
Geez, I can only hope. If it pans out and I’m a winner, “It’s Bo Time for everyone”. My treat. One item only you animals.
i swear man just when we were starting to harvest the fruit of our incremental trends this thing decides to become the tyreek hill of shortwaves smh
Shaggy
Member
Hope you get a surprise and end up with 6+
Jon
Member
I don’t think you’re grasping. GFS is out to lunch here. There’s no reason to believe right now that the GFS has it right with it’s vort evolution when the Euro/UKMET/KMA and almost the CMC are together. GFS basically only has the ICON right now.
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Jon
Member
Now we need colder air!
It’s there, the issue is the surface low leading to a warm nose. A few more trends and instead of north of the entire state, the warm nose will be its usual location through wake
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SWVAwxfan
Member
I bet the soundings are painfully close 
god i can't wait til the CAMs get a crack at this, idk how it will change things but i really doubt any of the globals are accurately dealing with an instant occlusion the second this thing touches the coast
CMC really isn’t budging with that feature in Canada, Dang 
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
UKIE coming in much warmer than 00z
Per the UK, I think we’re finally starting to get our general location of where it’s most likely to snow
snowlover91
Member
UK gives ENC a solid 3-6” of powder.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
What I've been saying. ENC looks good
Pain 
I do not believe that is a rain sounding.
I agree, that warm layer is to shallow, verbatim it’s probably some rain/wet snow
With good rates and the column that cold the temp should be 32/33 and all snow IMO.
That's a sn sounding
Honestly that works
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Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
Where is this sounding for? ENC?
Near albemarle where I would go to see snow haha
Can we get this wave to go further south ? 
NCSNOW
Member
Edenton Jackpot 9 inches
Still in it. Just need another tweak. The qpf is there I40 corridor in NC. Its that 1 degree surface temp tweak thats needed. Maybe one notch with confluence or one more notch south with track will do the trick. Triangle back to Triad would really benefit for the storm to exit south of Morehead City. MYB would be Gravy Train
Still in it. Just need another tweak. The qpf is there I40 corridor in NC. Its that 1 degree surface temp tweak thats needed. Maybe one notch with confluence or one more notch south with track will do the trick. Triangle back to Triad would really benefit for the storm to exit south of Morehead City. MYB would be Gravy Train
Check out the v16 on a possible storm out around 180-200 hours ... back to back threats ?
I was laughed and ridiculed for suggesting snow pack over mid Atlantic would cause to cad and get winter weather with the following systems. Kick and bruised.
Ah sheet here we go again 
