Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[smast16]

The gefs is actually showing blue colors at
The surface in the longer range ? Almost can’t believe it View attachment 63539

Doom

Going to be pipes bursting with your pants.

 

[SETNwx]

Brick: "What's in the case?"
Gefs: "Doom."

 

[Rain Cold]

Wow....
do you approve @Rain Cold View attachment 63537View attachment 63538

Yes! Cash money. This is about the best we can do. IF this ends up verifying, we have very cold air nearby, very favorable teleconnections, an active pattern, and a pretty favorable longwave trough orientation. I think generally, the biggest issue would be suppression. But I'd way rather risk that and have too much cold than deal with these stupid marginal air masses where the warm nose runs up to the moon and where the frozen/liquid demarcation zone runs NW from the extreme upstate through west-central VA.

 

[Webberweather53]

Fwiw (not much, just for lolz), there's a nice s/w diving SE from British Columbia into the Idaho stovepipe on the GEFS mean on the 19th. As long as our big SE Canada vortex holds its ground, we'd have a chance to score from this look.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This is January 2018 but basically with a -NAO View attachment 63533View attachment 63534

Hell yes. Jimmy stamp of approval.

 

[whatalife]

So who will be right...

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[Tarheel1]

Yes! Cash money. This is about the best we can do. IF this ends up verifying, we have very cold air nearby, very favorable teleconnections, an active pattern, and a pretty favorable longwave trough orientation. I think generally, the biggest issue would be suppression. But I'd way rather risk that and have too much cold than deal with these stupid marginal air masses where the warm nose runs up to the moon and where the frozen/liquid demarcation zone runs NW from the extreme upstate through west-central VA.

I love clippers, more than you NC peeps

 

[Rain Cold]

Great googly moogly! Stable 3 wave pattern?

 

[SnowNiner]

Hopefully we can keep pushing back losing the +PNA and popping the SE ridge. That would make our great pattern come to a very quick demise.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

What da hell

 

[Chazwin]

What da hell View attachment 63671View attachment 63672View attachment 63673

January 1985 says hi...

 

[Rain Cold]

Glacial

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Glacial

View attachment 63705

Looking off that map looks like a -WPO was maybe trying to get going

 

[RollTide18]

What da hell View attachment 63671View attachment 63672View attachment 63673

Add in some NW flow Flurries and I'm all in.

 

[BHS1975]

January 1985 says hi...

Not even close.


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[Arcc]

Glacial

View attachment 63705

Oh look the old smiley big nosed guy with a unibrow and earrings pattern.

 

[ATLwxfan]

Positive tilt and anafrontal crap at 216 on 0z GFS


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[BufordWX]

Looks like a clipper system blows through around day 10 on the GFS. It’s been showing a solid cool down around this time frame as well.

 

[RVD]

This shortwave looked not half bad around hour 180 on the GFS, but that northern stream orientation is the exact opposite of what we want. The big trough over the midwest + ridge over the NE broadly supports ascent and lowering surface pressures in-between, and the shortwave adds to that by creating an even more diffluent flow (look at how the contours fan out over the Lakes region). In other words, this looks like a setup for a Great Lakes low instead of a banana high.

 

[Myfrotho704_]