• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Webberweather53 said:
Well we pretty much know exactly what we're getting w/ this +PNA/-NAO look that we have right now. Cold rain, cold rain, & more cold rain. Simply isn't enough cold air around for a big dog, don't see much other choice but for us to take a gamble on a SE ridge and stick a giant block north of Alaska.
Click to expand...
I like the ballsiness ! It’s what I have been saying let’s take a gamble y’all!
 
Rain Cold said:
Ok my bad. Let's do a retake:

I really like how the lowering of heights out west create a nice moist SW flow, while the all-out arctic attack invades from the north. As usual, it will have no trouble spilling over the mountains, thanks to the strong, stationary 50/50 low that will set up and be held in place by the robust west-based -NAO block. The 50/50 will set up strong confluence in the NE and anchor in a strong arctic high, providing an excellent cold air feed into any waves emanating from the moist southwesterly flow. Going to be epic, so buckle up!!
Click to expand...
Robert, is that you!
 
Charlotte 56 Raleigh 49 and Greensboro 50. What the heck man. Looking at 10 days up and down the east. DC looks milder than normal , so does NYC , Atlanta looks normal , Columbia and Wilmington slightly below, Nashville normal. But Raleigh ? Raleigh looks a solid 4-5 degrees below average next 7 days. What the actual hell.
 
Just an observation, when we get true arctic outbreaks, they usually last a good bit longer than forecast and don’t warm up as quickly as models often want to or show. Because when the cold hits, the local met are always quick to point out the warm up on the models, then they get pushed back atleast 2-5 days or more. Watch if y’all get a good cold outbreaks down there
 
Lickwx said:
Charlotte 56 Raleigh 49 and Greensboro 50. What the heck man. Looking at 10 days up and down the east. DC looks milder than normal , so does NYC , Atlanta looks normal , Columbia and Wilmington slightly below, Nashville normal. But Raleigh ? Raleigh looks a solid 4-5 degrees below average next 7 days. What the actual hell.
Click to expand...
Snow cover
 
Jimmy Hypocracy said:
Look in the dictionary next to “cold” and you’ll see this graphic View attachment 63180
Click to expand...
Straight cash money. I just like this look. It's got everything you need except one thing. It has the big Greenland Block, a big tall ridge spiking deep into the arctic circle, cross-polar flow, a big -AO, energy coming out of the southwest, a 50/50 low, a great feed of cold air into the SE, and no SE ridge. The ONLY thing missing is a time stamp of Forecast Hour: [Analysis]. Pay me my money! In cash!

gfs_z500_mslp_nhem_65.png
 
Hopefully the GFS is doing its usual now you see it now you don’t trick only for the threat to come back down the line. It would be nice to see some run to run consistency but what are you gonna do.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
Sunday/Monday system still has my attention alot with cold air in place and a little suppress to it. Gefs members are showing more north than what the OP run does. If that happens watch out!!
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top