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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Webberweather53 said:
The Euro is progressively getting more amped w/ this storm and looking more like the GFS in that regard. If we can keep that up and have more cold air to boot, maybe for once we'll be able to have our cake and eat it too.
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The run over run change thru day 5 is exactly what we need to see a couple more times & I'm not just talking about the PV lobe in Canada

The western ridge is getting stronger & PV lobe and E US trough is also deepening. We're basically having our cake & eating it too with the stronger Rockies ridge >> more amped storm + further south PV lobe >>> more cold air & suppression.
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Webberweather53 said:
Imagine getting over 23" of liquid equivalent snow in just a week. That's basically like getting 1-2 Hurricane Floyds except it's all snow

:eek:

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Or framed another way, 350" of snow in a week comes out to be nearly 2"/hr.

Just imagine getting a heavy deform band of snow and instead of it lasting minutes or a few hours, it lasts basically an entire week. Wtf
 
12z Euro is not even remotely close. The air mass supportive of snow is in northern VA. That closed upper low trending southeast is not doing anything but acting as a barrier to prevent the high from building in and also preventing any northern stream press.

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I want to hear more about how this is trending in the right direction, because it's actually trending worse and worse.

Also, that cutoff upper low is only going to progress so far east, because there is effectively a pseudo Rex block set up with it and the ridge to the north. It ain't coming much further east than it is now.

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I’m glad I went up to the mountains twice this year to see some snow. I do that because I never want to have a snowless winter. Being in upstate sc your never guaranteed a winter with snow! I’m excited to continue model watching February and March though


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High of 48 today so far as the cold front blasted through . Much higher than models showed . Gfs operational had 42, CMC 44. NAM and HRRR were close with 47 and 46 respectively .
 
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