Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[crecre9]

I think our local meteorologist are being very consevarive almost a joke

I agree with them. No reason to say a whole lot about it, they have no idea what will happen yet. Its still six days out and while the pattern is great, we should manage our expectations. Its still the south, and we could get rain, or even flurries while watching those to our south get buried.

 

[Rick]

I agree with them. No reason to say a whole lot about it, they have no idea what will happen yet. Its still six days out and while the pattern is great, we should manage our expectations. Its still the south, and we could get rain, or even flurries while watching those to our south get buried.

I was talking about thursday night nam is showing snow here and they hardly eanna mention we will see a flake

 

[Tarheel1]

First sun in 5 days!

 

[Brick Tamland]

Did y’all see the end of GFS? ??
Jan ‘11 look right there! ❤?View attachment 62982View attachment 62983

What is the date for the end of the run? Everyone seems to be focused on the Friday and Saturday threat right now. No one is talking much about the Monday threat.

 

[Cadi40]

I’m curious to see the longevity of this upcoming pattern, if any.

 

[crecre9]

I was talking about thursday night nam is showing snow here and they hardly eanna mention we will see a flake

If you look at the NAM soundings, the growth zone is too dry and the surface is too warm to support those snow depth change maps.

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

I’m curious to see the longevity of this upcoming pattern, if any.

It's never-ending. This is the kind of pattern southern snow weenies have been dreaming about their entire lives.

 

[shoalswxlady]

All the guests that lurking around why not take a minute or two and sign up. It don't take long. Come on in and join the fun. I love snow.

 

[accu35]

Actually a good sign that this is south this far out

 

[Metwannabe]

What is the date for the end of the run? Everyone seems to be focused on the Friday and Saturday threat right now. No one is talking much about the Monday threat.

There's a thread for it

January 11th-12th Southern Slider

We are at the 7 day window, and the trends are getting better. I figured it was time to differentiate this storm potential from the overall pattern discussion. Fire away!!

southernwx.com

 

[Brick Tamland]

There's a thread for it

January 11th-12th Southern Slider

We are at the 7 day window, and the trends are getting better. I figured it was time to differentiate this storm potential from the overall pattern discussion. Fire away!!

southernwx.com

Okay, just wondering because I didn't see that in that thread. Wondered if that was in the long range or for the Monday threat.

 

[smast16]

End of the 6z GFS from this morning, but this would be the most beautiful snow I could ever ask for.

Mid 20's with no fear of the warm nose, Lift all through the DGZ... This would probably be greater that 10:1 ratio. Like dream snow folks, the stuff of legends.

Ok sorry, i'll put my weenie cap away again.

 

[GaWx]

Would be historic here. I don’t know how long it’s been since Central AL had two 6-8” snows a week or so a part.

Quite possibly you’d have to go all of the way back to the middle of Feb of 1895 to find the last time C AL had two widespread 6-8” snows within a week of each other! That also was the only time on record KATL had two major snows within an entire winter. But that was during a much colder period than the upcoming. It was absolutely frigid during that coldest Feb on record.

 

[accu35]

Here we go

 

[GaWx]

To @NoSnowATL and anyone else who may think Maxar “hates cold” (lol), check this out from this morning:

“Changing Pacific Supports Colder Pattern
The 11-15 Day features a pattern in transition, as the +PNA wanes and ridging becomes more focused over the eastern Pacific. This is a more typical pattern for La Niña, yielding some colder trends across the Mid-Continent and South in the latter part of the period. Among recent La Niñas are two winters with Arctic blocking and a similar overall pattern as is projected late in the 11-15 Day period. They suggest increased cold support associated with the pattern. Our 16-20 Day forecast reflects this. The risk is that the transition to colder occurs more quickly than is forecast. -BH”

Maxar is citing winters of 2000-1 and 2010-11 here because they both had high latitude type blocking.

 

[Webberweather53]

Very striking similarities between the long-range GEFS/EPS and the pattern that preceded snowjam '82 in Atlanta

 

[eddytur]

Love the suppressed look on the 12z GFS for next weeks system. So much potential

Sent from my SM-N975U using Tapatalk

 

[NoSnowATL]

To @NoSnowATL and anyone else who may think Maxar “hates cold” (lol), check this out from this morning:

“Changing Pacific Supports Colder Pattern
The 11-15 Day features a pattern in transition, as the +PNA wanes and ridging becomes more focused over the eastern Pacific. This is a more typical pattern for La Niña, yielding some colder trends across the Mid-Continent and South in the latter part of the period. Among recent La Niñas are two winters with Arctic blocking and a similar overall pattern as is projected late in the 11-15 Day period. They suggest increased cold support associated with the pattern. Our 16-20 Day forecast reflects this. The risk is that the transition to colder occurs more quickly than is forecast. -BH”

Maxar is citing winters of 2000-1 and 2010-11 here because they both had high latitude type blocking.

Fake news

 

[Rick]

This thread has the right name be glad when this crap fest month is over

 

[GaWx]

This thread has the right name be glad when this crap fest month is over

Say what?