Holy fook 
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
that’s a legendary sfc high lol
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That's what I was going to post about.. holy moly, that's a beast, even if overdone by one full magnitude.
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That's what I was going to post about.. holy moly, that's a beast, even if overdone by one full magnitude.
I was hoping to see the sun today at least
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
GEFS driving the 0C 850 line down to the I-20 corridor already in the extended & keep in mind this is a dampened ensemble mean w/ a strong long range warm bias.
Lmao
Lmao
The end of the GFS legitimately looked like March 1960. 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol give us 2 big dogs within a week pls,
Ironically 1959-60 also had a SSWE in Jan.
Oconeexman
Member
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That would be epic! Great pattern fo sho
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Without a shadow of doubt, mid-January looks like the best hand we've been dealt for cold/snow since 2010. Hopefully we play our cards right.
A month ago I was honestly thinking we’d deal with a southeast ridge in January/February, blocking/SSWE has completely shredded that theory apart
Downeastnc
Member
Yep once that sets up its just a matter of time, I feel pretty good we all get 100% of our seasonal average in a pattern like that...could easily get 2-3 winter weather events in 15-20 days mid to end of Jan into early Feb.....
I am not a fan of storms modeled 10 days out, I like the Baja SW's the models handle poorly till its inside of 5 days and all of sudden there is a true GOM Miller A with established deep cold air.....the south trend is a real thing in a pattern like this as well....a lot of storms end up further SE than modeled early on, seems like there is a tendency to take everything up the coast in the 7-10 days range versus more ESE OTS closer in.
Welcome to SouthernWX!
Doesn't this just mean "bone chilling cold with not a drop of moisture in sight" kind of cold though?
No. Really active storm track
.wow, pattern is amazing at least... 
That's a good look for Arkansas in the long range!
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Lol holy crap look where the 0C 850 line is south of I-40 already on the GEFS beyond 300 hr.
Coldest mid Jan GEFS run yet in the SE and keep in mind as @Webberweather53 and I have been saying that it has been warm biased at 2 m: so to see marginal BN moving in is impressive!
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Just wish temps were more impressive: 