Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[Webberweather53]

Sheesh...I mean someone is going to get under a sub 1000mb low while heights crash, whether that’s NE NC or DCA we don’t know yet, but it’s worth watching. We’re very much in the game, RDU north and NE. Can’t really discount anything at this juncture. But I admittedly live for setups like this that tend to over perform.

Yeah it's worth watching but probably for the mid-Atlantic & NC mountains.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Much better for Me and @RVD's backyards!.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

50/50 low/blocking is shoving this thing South, I saw HM mention this is why a north trend could be hard

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

50/50 low/blocking is shoving this thing South, I saw HM mention this is why a north trend could be hard View attachment 62167

Exactly. No where for it to go but further south. Have to worry about this thing getting squished versus missing to the NW.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[KyloG]

EPS mean and GFS op with similar snow output.

 

[Clem282340]

Exactly. No where for it to go but further south. Have to worry about this thing getting squished versus missing to the NW.

If it keeps on shifting south will the upstate get involved

 

[Metwannabe]

View attachment 62169

I just want to know who engineered the @SD snow shield, it goes east and up I-95, seems intentional to me

 

[NorthDFWwx]

This may end up good but could get sheared, let’s see View attachment 62066View attachment 62067

 

[Webberweather53]

Deep-layer veering/warm advection with hints of a mid-level warm nose already even on the GFS. Not gonna cut it for most.





This is why you want the upper low to track to your south and not over you:

Notice the warm advection drops off (but doesn't go away) as this southward trend occurs on the GFS. The GFS verbatim still looks too far north at 500 for folks in RDU but pretty good for VA border/NW piedmont. Honestly still not entirely sure if we hit everything perfectly that we're gonna get snow out of this setup, cold air is severely lacking to say the least and the strong veering/WAA-driven precip isn't exactly encouraging even with these favorable trends.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That sounding on the backside here is beautiful as it’s moving out,can this hurry up and get in NAM range so it can show the warm nose already

 

[SD]

I just want to know who engineered the @SD snow shield, it goes east and up I-95, seems intentional to me

Seems legit. Book it

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Eyeing two AirBnB properties at Sugar Mountain for this weekend. If it can hold serve through 12z tomorrow I’m pulling the trigger. I’ve been itching to break out the skis and she has never been.

 

[Rain Cold]

I just want to know who engineered the @SD snow shield, it goes east and up I-95, seems intentional to me

It always does that. It's exactly in that spot every time. It goes up just west of us and then comes back down just east of us. Every time. There must be magma under the ground. Or maybe it's just that this is hell. ?‍

 

[Metwannabe]

It always does that. It's exactly in that spot every time. It goes up just west of us and then comes back down just east of us. Every time. There must be magma under the ground. Or maybe it's just that this is hell. ?‍

I-95 is it's own heat island?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Aight den

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

WNC should be on red alert

 

[Webberweather53]

GEFS warm bias even inside the medium range.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Oops, posted the wrong thing, here’s the v16 !