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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

Myfrotho704_ said:
This is making it into the D10 window, the -PNA hands off a S/W and it heads East and brings cold with it View attachment 65935View attachment 65936View attachment 65937
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This by far is the coldest 7 mean for the EPS.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
KyloG said:
This looks like legit arctic cold...to the north of us it has many members below freezing for highs.


View attachment 65939View attachment 65940
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This reminds me of EPS when we started moving in on that cold shot in Dec 17-Jan 18. Doubt its the same magnitude but 39 at RDU is solid and that's only 4 days of 16 with above normal highs
 
Seems to me the faucet has been turned off since the last big rain just before Christmas. GSO has 0.89 mtd which is about 40% below normal. Go back to Christmas, and the last 3 weeks are probably more like about 60% below normal. Add in that there are no certain soakers on the horizon, then we're going to need more than just temps to change if we want a solid winter storm. Need the stj to get cranking again here sometime next week.
TW
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
don’t wanna break hearts, but that pattern at first is more favorable for NC/upstate of SC/TN, the other parts of the SE have to wait till that muted SER retrogrades west imo
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Was just about to say ETN/Piedmont & WNC/Upstate SC/ NE Georgia likely to be the most in play at this point until the ridge pushes west and even here CAD is likely going to be the big opportunity.
 
Myfrotho704_ said:
don’t wanna break hearts, but that pattern at first is more favorable for NC/upstate of SC/TN, the other parts of the SE have to wait till that muted SER retrogrades west imo
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I agree with you on that. Maybe northern GA could see something with a really strong CAD.
 
whatalife said:
This by far is the coldest 7 mean for the EPS.
ca39802762dbb68bd4bb9ca47eec3b2c.png

beaf2896d866f6bc17bb6015456adc0b.png

6265130ca434631ab10b635e25bd22d3.png

f8e1d7252ee0be90de5f04889306e65e.png



Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Click to expand...

Appreciate you posting those! I may be reading this wrong, but at first glance it looks like that's a northern stream dominated pattern with energy coming in the NW, traveling to the midwest then due east due to the ridge (above us). Lots of transfers to off the NE coast. I think it would be good for the NE but not us. I don't know, I think we need to wait until the main trough transfers to the east coast and that ridge goes away IMO for us to benefit.
 
SnowNiner said:
Appreciate you posting those! I may be reading this wrong, but at first glance it looks like that's a northern stream dominated pattern with energy coming in the NW, traveling to the midwest then due east due to the ridge (above us). Lots of transfers to off the NE coast. I think it would be good for the NE but not us. I don't know, I think we need to wait until the main trough transfers to the east coast and that ridge goes away IMO for us to benefit.
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I would think that's more of a Miller B/CAD look verbatim.
 
Cad Wedge NC said:
I still haven't figured out how it happened. Just doesn't look like a track that would bring any snow east of the mountains. What's your analysis?
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It doesn't but it looks like Mar 1927 started as a big overrunning event that rapidly turned into a coastal/Miller A bomb as it phased w/ a s/w over the NE US.
 
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