Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[Dewpoint Dan]

Hope the Deep South can score this winter, won't happen with this upcoming pattern but hopeful for something in February.

Honestly the deep south usually only gets one good shot at snow each winter and I'm afraid that shot occurred recently when LA and MS got some snow.

 

[POWERSTROKE]

Just like JB said it would be last night.

No credit given either. He has been about spot on while others were cliff diving and saying winter was over. Curious to see what happens 25th-5th

 

[proud dad]

Honestly the deep south usually only gets one good shot at snow each winter and I'm afraid that shot occurred recently when LA and MS got some snow.

I quite frankly disagree Dan. If you’ve ever lived in the “Deep South” it never gets cold until after “deer season “ which is usually isn’t over until first to mid February. Can’t back it up with fancy statistics like some of the other members on here, but just sit back and enjoy the season that you have gotten in Iowa. I’ve already seen more winter weather here this year than in many of my years, granted not much but I’ve enjoyed all the flurries.

 

[DixieBlizzard]

I quite frankly disagree Dan. If you’ve ever lived in the “Deep South” it never gets cold until after “deer season “ which is usually isn’t over until first to mid February. Can’t back it up with fancy statistics like some of the other members on here, but just sit back and enjoy the season that you have gotten in Iowa. I’ve already seen more winter weather here this year than in many of my years, granted not much but I’ve enjoyed all the flurries.

Ol' "Dewpoint Dan" types things to entertain himself sometimes. He certainly doesn't back anything with "fancy statistics". He's just Gumpin. Blount County can get snow well into March as we all know (former Jefferson County resident). Besides, I'd rather have 1 good day with snow in Blount County versus 50 days of living with snow in Indi-friggin-ana.

 

[RollTide18]

Honestly the deep south usually only gets one good shot at snow each winter and I'm afraid that shot occurred recently when LA and MS got some snow.

I was specifically talking about Meridian to Montgomery to Macon and south. Those areas have gotten big time snows in February.

 

[PGAWx]

Looks like some snow currently in the NC Foothills.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Looks like some snow currently in the NC Foothills.

Can confirm. Was covering a high school basketball game in Taylorsville (Alexander county) and came out to the car coated in slush.

 

[Stormdoc]

Incoming on GFS...

 

[SouthSideYankee]

This looks doableView attachment 65973

I like how that block sits in place

 

[Chandler]

Straight up fizzles out but I like it

 

[Nomanslandva]

30 with fog here. Frozen fog is not that common here. Hope temps hold below freezing until dawn so I can see if we have any interesting rime ice here.

 

[Ollie Williams]

Straight up fizzles out but I like itView attachment 65974

Yeah, I’ll do that unless we get the ridge out of the picture.

 

[Stormdoc]

Incoming on GFS...

Spoke too soon, shears out as it moves east but still not a bad look.

 

[Jessy89]

I bet the essambles will be decent


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[Meteorologist1999]

Wow 0Z GFS

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

Damn really .. no one wants to see the euro even... it’s been so dead for positive trends ... maybe tonight’s euro could raise a few more eyebrows ... seems like models are keying in on a system for someone in the south .. quick hitter but NC looks to be in a prime position

 

[Meteorologist1999]

What did the Gefs show?

 

[whatalife]

WOW! This upcoming pattern looks great...but will it come to pass? Take a look at the 00z EPS.

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[Meteorologist1999]

WOW! This upcoming pattern looks great...but will it come to pass? Take a look at the 00z EPS.

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The best yet, also cold is getting shorter in range Day 8.

 

[NCHighCountryWX]

Our good winter in the NC High Country above 4500’ with some snow cover in the ground somewhere daily since 11/29/2020 continues. 48 days in the core of winter is a good run.

 

[Webberweather53]

??

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

??

View attachment 65991

Give me that look with the LP in that position and the 540 running the state line and I’ll work out all the details later.

 

[Shaggy]

Some good looks on that EPS. Think we have something track pretty soon as tbis pattern unfolds.

Another super foggy morning. Seems this year it's either a mega frost or less than .25 mile visibility.

 

[sdm47]

EPS definitely still really liking late January.

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

EPS definitely still really liking late January.

View attachment 66002

View attachment 66003

I’ll take E02 please

 

[Prestige Worldwide]

 

[Parker]

Don’t wanna get sucked in, but dang!

 

[Flotown]

Don’t wanna get sucked in, but dang!

View attachment 66008

When u can show me the shoals please

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This one looks good ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

This is what I really really want up top though ?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This is what I really really want up top though ? View attachment 66020

March 2018.

 

[NCSNOW]

Our good winter in the NC High Country above 4500’ with some snow cover in the ground somewhere daily since 11/29/2020 continues. 48 days in the core of winter is a good run.


View attachment 65989

Agree. Its been awesome up there. Old fashioned winter. Need a big dog or 2 to top it off.

 

[Rain Cold]

This is what I really really want up top though ? View attachment 66020

The Euro has a surprisingly similar look at D10, actually. A few subtle differences, but overall, it's shockingly close. If we can get that NE Pac low to retrograde under the block and have that block push a little NE, we'll be in bidness.

 

[Deleted member 609]

The Euro has a surprisingly similar look at D10, actually. A few subtle differences, but overall, it's shockingly close. If we can get that NE Pac low to retrograde under the block and have that block push a little NE, we'll be in bidness.

View attachment 66021

RC optimism? I'm intrigued.

 

[FallsLake]

Agree. Its been awesome up there. Old fashioned winter. Need a big dog or 2 to top it off.

My wife and two youngest kids are up in Boone visiting family. My 12 year old just sent me some pics of it snowing right now. I'm glade they're able to see snow. Still hopeful for us in the Piedmont the next few weeks, but you never know.

 

[Rain Cold]

RC optimism? I'm intrigued.

Lol, if the pattern evolves as I hope, then you'll see arctic highs ushered into the US. And if we keep the west-based -NAO about, the storm track should stay suppressed. We may end up battling suppression, but I'd way rather fight that battle. We'll last longer against those star destroyers than we will against that Death Star.

I don't mean to always be pessimistic, but I know that until we see a pattern that legitimately allows arctic air to filter into the eastern US, most of us are not going to get appreciable snow, regardless of what models show or Twitter says.

 

[Deleted member 609]

Lol, if the pattern evolves as I hope, then you'll see arctic highs ushered into the US. And if we keep the west-based -NAO about, the storm track should stay suppressed. We may end up battling suppression, but I'd way rather fight that battle. We'll last longer against those star destroyers than we will against that Death Star.

I don't mean to always be pessimistic, but I know that until we see a pattern that legitimately allows arctic air to filter into the eastern US, most of us are not going to get appreciable snow, regardless of what models show or Twitter says.

Lol we are both on the wrong side of Charlotte/Raleigh. Pessimism is the only way.

 

[Tarheel1]

This is what I really really want up top though ? View attachment 66020

Wasn’t that look showing like 12 days ago? ?

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Wasn’t that look showing like 12 days ago? ?

Yeah but now it’s showing d10 ?

 

[Deleted member 609]

Yeah but now it’s showing d10 ?

Only 19 days left