ATLwxfan
Member
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Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
JLL1973
Member
must be very cold. i dont even see it running
Tarheelwx
Member
So cold it froze up!
TW
TW
LickWx
Member
47/32 , high 48 so far today winds WSW. Safe to say we ain’t snowing today lol.
Little bit of Sleet and some other unknown precip type at 42 degrees, I win
The snow report in asheboro is interesting. I wouldn't be shocked if we got some evaporation sleet
ATLwxfan
Member
Canadian was nada.
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It’s available on the NCEP website.
This looks interesting. 
Storm5
Member
Jesus look at the energy on the 17th and 18th and
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Need this thing further south and tilted better 
We’re so close to something better then a sheared piece of crap 
I want snow AND cold.. so it sticks for longer than a day and I can fully enjoy it. It's why Feb 8, 2020, though a beautiful morning surprise, still didn't fully satisfy me. Had to go to work later that afternoon, and driving home that night.. it was mostly melted. Unless it snows 6 plus inches, we also need some deep cold to make it a full snow experience.
But but but Great Lakes low!
At least it looks cold enough at the onset this time for some snow, limited moisture: 
I still believe that if we are going to get a substantial storm, it's going to "sneak up" on us. Meaning models won't start sniffing it out until 3-4 days out. The 18th time period is something to watch. As stated above, we just need more moisture.
Jesus look at the energy on the 17th and 18th and
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Looking at the loop and considering models biases, probably a pretty good phaser there.
Literal pain right now, clouds look exactly the same before it snowed a few days ago (even the virga) but this time I’m probably gonna see rain with some sleet
ATLwxfan
Member
As we’ve seen from today and as we saw from the Great Flizzard of 2020, the GFS underestimates advection.
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Just got under a decent return with some light rain, sleet and a few small flakes, but its now basically drizzle
That’s another flizzard, which makes 6, I’m on a roll
That’s another flizzard, which makes 6, I’m on a roll
I've been talking about this window for like 3 days now, so it if it's sneaking up on people, it's because they aren't paying attention. It's a pretty obvious opportunity if it'll just keep trending the right way.
Storm5
Member
Energy everywhere on the euro
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ForsythSnow
Moderator
Another slightly heavier return and the mix is back. Too bad it's not colder.
I think people are paying attention- but we are so used to getting these storms yanked from us that we are pretty much put up a protective snow barrier, so to speak. Lol.
Lol what a change compared to last run 
In all fairness, it has sort of evolved but it actually is trending in an even better direction where some cold air may be in place before that second wave arrives.
It’s trying something 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Really like the changes I'm seeing on the 12z ECMWF thru day 7-8. We're real close to seeing a legit board-wide overrunning event.
This could go big or go home 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
If we can keep building this ridge over NW Canada in later runs like we have been doing, a big low-level sfc high will descend into the northern plains after this frame.
Uhh..it must have finally sampled the cold air when it got onshore..
Best look in a while I will say.
Now this is what I like to see 