Pattern January 2021 - Joyless January

[BHS1975]

Just like those 60 degree dewpoints in December right?

Yeap you got it. SSTs still above normal.

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[ATLwxfan]

The HM to English translation function does not seem to be working.


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[Ollie Williams]

The HM to English translation function does not seem to be working.


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I could be wrong, but I think he's saying that the MJO will head back to crap in February.

 

[crecre9]

Day 10 Canadian. Cold air would be in place (dew points teens and low 20s). 850 zero line in N. NC (moving northward). Maybe a ice to snow setup for many? You would think the cold to the NW would eventually catch up as the storm deepens off the coast (or at least that's what I'm dreaming):
View attachment 61744

This is the look that can bring snow to N AL. This is the kind of look that can bring excitement, but not until 5 days out.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I could be wrong, but I think he's saying that the MJO will head back to crap in February.

Yeah, he means favorable MJO towards mid month, then maritime forcing moves in during feb, which suxs

 

[NoSnowATL]

Yeah, he means favorable MJO towards mid month, then maritime forcing moves in during feb, which suxs

So we will have a 7-10 day window late January then winter is over?

 

[Dewpoint Dan]

So we will have a 7-10 day window late January then winter is over.

That's a better window than many winters.

 

[NoSnowATL]

That's a better window than many winters.

I hope that’s not the case, I’ll follow Webber on this one.

 

[Webberweather53]

Headed for glory disaster

 

[Myfrotho704_]

That’s a look that introduces more legit arctic air

 

[SD]

Oh man

 

[Webberweather53]

The coldest of rains

 

[Webberweather53]

Oh man View attachment 61769

These upper lows suck at making their own cold air. Best we can do is average temps?

 

[Myfrotho704_]

We’re slowly stepping our game up, instead of onset ice, there’s onset flurries !

 

[Webberweather53]

Perfect upper low track during peak winter climo and it's still cold rain

Womp

 

[Ollie Williams]

Flurries mix in across much of NC!

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Could do so much better, maybe a deeper ULL would help ?

 

[SD]

These upper lows suck at making their own cold air. Best we can do is average temps?

View attachment 61772

I thought the euro might flip us on the backside instead just flipped the bird. Gotta hate we are basically trying to make the best with Pacific or modified cP airmasses here. I'd still take my chances trying to pull a magic trick with the Euro setup though. You'd have to think there would be an area of cold 850s north and west of the upper low and enough banded precip we could flip areas to snow

 

[iGRXY]

Any chance it’s too warm at surface? We’re so close so all it would take is the model being just slightly too warm at the surface

 

[deltadog03]

I still think that system has legs...I know we have to work on cooling the lower levels for sure tho. Also, see what is coming next? After hr 180...well its stuck on hr 180 lol