We posted at the same time, I just mentioned this.... man this is so close to a bombI think it's captured and will do a sit and spin. So much potential!
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
GeorgiaGirl
Member
This baby's so close that it's snowing on the beach in far NE SC and SE NC at 192.
These shifts west have been impressive so far.
Edit: and at 198 it might even be close in Beaufort somehow.
These shifts west have been impressive so far.
Edit: and at 198 it might even be close in Beaufort somehow.
Storm5
Member
Euro close to a coastal bomb with the second wave
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this is literally a hair away from being something special
997 mb of the coast, oh boy.... heart breaks, head aches and fun times ahead
It’s about to bomb as the northern wave dives in.
whatalife
Moderator
I’m all in for the middle of next week. Heads up especially for the Carolinas!
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Storm5
Member
Squashed first wave, close second wave and here comes the third
It’s gonna crap out
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It’s gonna crap out
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Yes it is, in fact it's bombing.... I wasn't clear, I technically meant a bomb for us. Lol
I’d love to see that low pop in the gulf before amplifying and shooting poleward. Still time. I’m not yet convinced this is a true coastal
Storm5
Member
Yeah if i lived in the Carolinas I’d be at least getting excited about the possibility of a coastal middle next week
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packfan98
Moderator
EastAtlwx
Meteorologist
How far NW do you guys think this storm could trend?
Nerman
Member
Yes! It's definitely coming now. Lol.
Every great snow storm we've ever had started out with a look like this:
NorthGaWinter4
Member
Not enough for us
The surface low is too far away from the ULL. That will need to be corrected in future iterations.I think it's captured and will do a sit and spin. So much potential!
Needs to stall right over Phil.
Does anyone know where Eric is?
Storm5
Member
For those of us back to the west we need the trough further to the west for this to work out for us
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D
Deleted member 418
Guest
Wasn’t he spotted at the conference in Boston?
one more swing back SW and....... 
Showmeyourtds
Member
What he said...we need this sucker to splash down & start grinding its way east somewhere ‘twixt Nola & PCola...and that might be too Far East as well.
Yeah. The gulf boom Miller A look was showing up days ago and I feel like this coastal look is relatively new to the scheme. Won’t take much at all to make it revert back. My coastal rule may not be at play here
Snow starting in Texas is sometimes a good sign for us further east. I just don't like how it's being crushed and time is closing in.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
I think NC is sitting pretty. Still a ways to go, but we know how the storms end up further NW with the snow when we get closer.
Yep. We're all fighting progressive tendencies, as there is one s/w after another. You guys want the flow to slow down a little and allow the western ridging to hang back and steepen. That allows the trough to remain farther west and the northern energy to dive farther south and phase with the southern energy more quickly. A little extra blocking would help too.
LovingGulfLows
Member
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You act like we're only three days away. There's still like 8-10 days left.
EPS will hopefully shed light to the range of possibilities we may still see
12Z EPS mean suggests most members more progressive/dry even on the coast with dry westerly 500 mb flow instead of wet SW flow thus keeping precip offshore. But some very close calls at least and maybe a few members will be on the coast when members come out.
Yup, we got to have it popping in the gulf! Most times Coastals no good for the western NC/SC.
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I know I am; I'm being aggressive with these models this winter season. If they don't show solid consistency with something to my liking, I'm moving on to the next. I better refrain myself from posting further about this cause I don't want to get banned.
There’s been a clear consistent trend to a trough digging more SW, You can’t just look at a few runs and precip maps that show nothing and write it off, there more to it , and going back to that Canadian ridge, it doesn’t hurt the system, it helps keep it separated from any NS/SS interaction that would cause a early phase
Could it be first red flag? I sure hope not. But some outlets give cause to be concerned. Short lived cold.
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