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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

Brick Tamland

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The potential is there, and the storm signal is strong and getting stronger. I remember when a winter storm in Texas meant one in NC 99% of the time, but it's been ages since it's been like that. But things have surely been more and more positive the last 24 hours. We are going in the right direction as of now.
 

GaWx

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Possible incoming on 6Z GFS 1/22.

Edit: 1. Big snow S TX. Light snow part of LA.
2. Light ZR part of CAD region.
 
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John1122

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Lots of cold around and 3 storms from the 21st to the 29th. That may have been the most legendary snowdome run ever though. It literally snows almost everywhere it can snow in the entire lower 48 except a small area of NE Texas and across the Southeast.
 

Robert West

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One thing is looking likely, cold air is coming. Models have trended colder with that. Spring days in Winter are numbered.
 
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Nick_boynton_

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Seems clear what our storm threats are ... first one is in about 160+ hours which seems suppressed at this juncture .. all Gefs ensembles now have suppression for that storm (which honestly I love to be at at this point in time) (*although a good bit have a weird clipper type of snow for areas in north Carolina and south Carolina which will be interesting to track*) threat #2 is at about 250+ hours out which looks to be some sort of phased system between northern and souther branch .. where they phase can’t be determined until we fully get through storm number 1 ... we look to then get another storm #3 with another large injection of cold air 360+ hours out ... all in all we are going to be very busy for the time being

Plus with the euro showing a cold first week of February .. we can finally say with some confidence we’re going to have storms to track even after all this time period .. cheers to a backloaded winter
 

Fountainguy97

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for anyone tracking the storm in the 160-180 range this is what we need to happen.
Currently our western ridge is just too far east. That forces our storm and trough to be too far east as well and ends up OTS.

Red is obviously the current euro solution. But we need more of a blue solution too occur. Then the timing of the negative tilt will determine more. But we HAVE to see this whole pattern come west. We have plenty of time and rule number 1 is never be in the bullseye this far out.

You can see we really are close to something special. Give it a few more days and see what we have by Thursday.
1E1B98BE-9C99-4C8D-A6F4-6E5B7459C68C.jpeg
 
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