Our Miller a paste bomb from the other day is now an Ottawa Canada gutter runner. Soaking rain into southern Ontario
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
ajr
Member
There's a pretty good signal for a costal around the 300 hr mark -- modeled temps are sketchy, but could be worse.
A little more digging on the gefs with the longwave trof, can tell by the 552/546 dm shade, I’m pretty sure more separation of that big cold vortex in Canada helps, but there was a few members with light snow, barely tho, but it was a step in the right direction
CMC/GFS is slowly improving aswell, more digging, getting into a range where big changes are less likely 
I also think the euro is possibly showing the sfc low OTS too much. I would think that it should be closer to the coast near the upper energy.
Honestly “double barrel” low pressures would be possible if it was cut off like this at H5, especially if it slows down a little bit
EPS looks better ? actually has a cutoff now, I bet the snow mean is higher 
UK has been improving 
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Nice to see we are headed in the right direction with this storm next week, still 5 days left for favorable adjustments to continue. There’s more than enough time for this to come much further inland into the coastal plain and even piedmont of the SE US. Definitely want to see this upper trough tick stronger and tilt negative sooner for more of us to get into the game
Winter Weather Advisories out for Wilkes-Surry. Doubt much of anything lol.
Six Mile Wx
Member
If the TPV gets coupled to SPV then all of our cold may be headed towards Russia
Downeastnc
Member
Baby steps...….this setup is close to perfect for a central/eastern hit if we can tease this thing back west 100 miles or so moving more NNE...….good solid cold air in place, heck even .30-.40" of QPF would be enough for a solid 3-6" thump.....this is one of the few times me being on the eastern side of Pitt Co is a good thing.
GFS also ticked west a little more. My biggest concern for this to trend further west to our favor is that kicker to the west that is so close behind. If this flow was not so darn progressive I would be very excited right now. Someone can tell me if I am off base with that assessment. No doubt coastal cyclogenesis here is going to happen, but how far west can it go?
Anyone have the euro EPS for 240-360 hr range ?
D
Deleted member 1449
Guest
I don't, but the day 10 EURO doesn't offer much hope of wintry weather--no cold to speak of anywhere near the lower 48, much less the SE.
Keep hoping we see some positive changes but this ain’t it. Right over the pole with low heights over Alaska. It’s not a super torch so we got that...seasonal, especially with the rain.
It’s a beaut Clark.
It’s a beaut Clark.
Jon
Member
Yeah. I’ve thrown in the towel for Jan for my area. You can’t ignore the trends here...it’s amazing what 2 days can do. The boards were exploding with excitement, 3 GFS snows in a row, Euro EPS starting to pick up on the threat and BOOM. Gone.
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