-
Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!
Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
Yep. And to be fair, this isn't far from being something better, it's just going the wrong way.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Going wrong compared to when? The positive signs we have seen in just the last 48 hours?
Looking through the members, both those means are just about worthless.
Did you not read the posts above that GaWx and I literally just posted? I posted a EPS trend in the Whamby thread. I can't make it any easier.
Good point. There is a good chunk of members that are solidly colder and a good chunk that are solidly warmer.
Looking through the members:
at 288hrs: Members are everywhere. Majority looks like either +PNA or kind of zonal.
at ~330hrs: majority are +PNA and a lot are like the pattern showing next week, some kind of zonal.
at 360hrs: look above. Lots of possible snow threats looking at H5.
at 288hrs: Members are everywhere. Majority looks like either +PNA or kind of zonal.
at ~330hrs: majority are +PNA and a lot are like the pattern showing next week, some kind of zonal.
at 360hrs: look above. Lots of possible snow threats looking at H5.
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Yes, but I also have been reading things since Sunday, and there were a whole lot more positive and good runs of the models compared to this. One blip over 48 hours doesn't mean it's going the wrong way now. If it continues, then sure. But it's not a "trend" the wrong way.
Avalanche
Member
Time will tell.
Storm5
Member
This reminds me a lot of last years jan near miss coastal. I really hung my hat on the NW trend and got burned, may need to go back and read on how that played out. I'd hate to put all our eggs in one basket too but this could very well be our only legit chance in NC.
This in my opinion is the most important frame of the euro. Anything beyond 144hrs is really just noise. I'm always reminded of this when we track hurricanes. Where an LP ends up at 192hrs+ is anybodies guess.
At hour 168 the gulf gets squashed as the wave transfers.
For now the EPS (as seen below) supports a slightly weaker high.
How will this play out in future runs? Hopefully it'll allow for more help from the gulf, but I'm sure some other fly is waiting to jump into our ointment.
This in my opinion is the most important frame of the euro. Anything beyond 144hrs is really just noise. I'm always reminded of this when we track hurricanes. Where an LP ends up at 192hrs+ is anybodies guess.
At hour 168 the gulf gets squashed as the wave transfers.
For now the EPS (as seen below) supports a slightly weaker high.
How will this play out in future runs? Hopefully it'll allow for more help from the gulf, but I'm sure some other fly is waiting to jump into our ointment.
I got burned too, I actually went back and read that a couple months ago. We all wanted to believe so much that it was going to be a 2000 repeat.
EPS control FWIW
Wtf lol, must of been a deform band that slowed ???
Avalanche
Member
Looks like Brick and Metwanna are in business!!!
B
Brick Tamland
Guest
Needs to come west some.
Avalanche
Member
According to that depiction it has!! Has to come a lot more west for Chatham Co to get anything. At least its a stones throw.
Avalanche
Member
Just sits there and pivots, i mean, not january 2000 like, but...