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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska

I know it can be difficult sometimes especially when it comes to wintery weather but let’s please try to keep our wish casting down to a minimum.
 
500...Days 10-15 on the three major ensembles
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Hopefully the 12z EPS went south because it's MJO is wrong. I'll be watching the mjo pretty close. If we can get it to "wake up" and continue the pulse into 8 like many think it will continue in to, perhaps we can get western ridging to help us out. Even the GEFS still kills it in 7 probably too quickly.

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SnowNiner said:
Hopefully the 12z EPS went south because it's MJO is wrong. I'll be watching the mjo pretty close. If we can get it to "wake up" and continue the pulse into 8 like many think it will continue in to, perhaps we can get western ridging to help us out. Even the GEFS still kills it in 7 probably too quickly.

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Probably why the eps had that suspect look in the LR
 
SnowNiner said:
Hopefully the 12z EPS went south because it's MJO is wrong. I'll be watching the mjo pretty close. If we can get it to "wake up" and continue the pulse into 8 like many think it will continue in to, perhaps we can get western ridging to help us out. Even the GEFS still kills it in 7 probably too quickly.

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I'd like for it to go in the circle if it's not going to 8 or 1. We sure don't need it collapsing going to 6. I'm not sure where this assumption that phase 7 is good came from either. I guess based on Webber's research it somehow manages to snow in NC somehow.
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18z gfs has a similar H5 look to the 06z at hour 132, so a step back atm
 
Snowless & Grumpy said:
I'd like for it to go in the circle if it's not going to 8 or 1. We sure don't need it collapsing going to 6. I'm not sure where this assumption that phase 7 is good came from either. I guess based on Webber's research it somehow manages to snow in NC somehow.
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Also, January at KATL within the COD phase 7 averaged 4 colder than normal 1975-2014. Outside COD phase 7 averaged only 1 BN.
 
If I were in Texas I'd be starting to get a little excited about January 21-22...eastward it's getting crushed so far (and isn't consolidated energy) because of that 50/50 low, and I'm a little worried that if that low moderates the cold will too.
 
A lot of our king storms seem to start out with snow in Texas...it's a shame in this case that if something like this were to happen, it seems like there might be another piece of energy combined with a strong 50/50 that make it have no where to go other than Cuba...
 
packfan98 said:
Perfect Miller A track with no cold air. Seems like we’ve been saying this for months.
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Northern stream isn’t that far behind . It’s all timing as always ANd most importantly it’s post day ten .

Edit :Even with a faster northern stream and or slower southern energy temps still suck


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