We're from AL so we will be griping because it's too cold after two weeks of it.
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Pattern January 2020 - Operation Thaw Alaska
- Thread starter KyloG
- Start date
We're from AL so we will be griping because it's too cold after two weeks of it.
From the early looks, the GFS looks interesting.
Might get a weenie run in the next few frames. Definitely big changes vs the last few runs of the gfs.
John1122
Member
GFS coming in colder and with a big snow event breaking out in Texas. Normally that's good for us.
whatalife
Moderator
Incoming!?!?!
Meh...
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Meh...
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Last edited:
GeorgiaGirl
Member
Early look at this GFS run looks like some of the ensembles we've seen lately. There's a huge HP though, so if it doesn't head NE a little it wouldn't surprise me if it stayed suppressed and dissipated a bit.
Good though at this range.
Edit: And poof at 234 lol. Although I wasn't looking at other maps yet.
Good though at this range.
Edit: And poof at 234 lol. Although I wasn't looking at other maps yet.
Falls apart as it goes East. But dang it has me pumped up. I bet there will be some nice hits on the gefs tonight. 
Wave gets too strung out. Ingredients are there, just needs a stronger wave to phase with the 50/50 low.
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That’s why I said maybe ... lol ?Incoming!?!?!
Meh...
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I am no pro....?? But I think it is a step in the right direction.
John1122
Member
Bone chilling cold, system goes poof, cold retreats out of Eastern U.S. Storm roars our way. Life in the South hoping for snow.
Just one run of many... Wouldn’t set my hopes and dreams one run that is 10 days out...
Interesting, the GFS looks similar how modeling looked prior to the December storm. The main difference was the lack of a ridge out west. If we can get that, this run would have gone boom.
If the shortwave over Texas is a little faster and/or the high pressure digs a little further southwest then look out! Definitely a look we can work with at this range.
GeorgiaGirl
Member
We're really on to something there if the first wave isn't strung out. The storm that ends up emerging comes mainly from a different wave that crashes into California that's stronger and it absorbs it on the vort maps.
edit: and...ugh, could use other things...like a ridge for example. But maybe we can get that ridge because I've seen the western ridge/eastern trough start to emerge around then.
edit: and...ugh, could use other things...like a ridge for example. But maybe we can get that ridge because I've seen the western ridge/eastern trough start to emerge around then.
John1122
Member
Just a general comment, unfortunately all too believable an outcome.
Most of the time that's how it goes unfortunately, but sometimes we get lucky and "cash" in. Luckily the time window is still beyond 200 hours so expect to see many other scenarios. A winter storm is still in the pending status. At this point, it's still meh.
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We had 2 storms within 7-10 days a few years back. I will have to look up when as I remember transmission came out while plowing. We had to get it replaced quick as another one came.