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Pattern January 2017 Discussion

Thundersnow89 link said:
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg4184#msg4184 date=1482993791]
00z euro is warmer vs 12z

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you serious clark?
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Yeah nothing crazy but every degree will count for some in this setup

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light snow miss alabama back through Arkansas Friday midday . Lots of moisture back to the west

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I'm not sure but at the end of the run it looks like a banana high is setting up. Looks like the MA might cash in too.
 
Re: January 2017 Discussion

SimeonNC link said:
I'm not sure but at the end of the run it looks like a banana high is setting up. Looks like the MA might cash in too.
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they got crushed a foot plus in some places

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84 today at DFW and the Euro says may not see much above 34 for 4 days next week lmao. Lots of frozen fun this run.
 
Eh, I'm not that excited because it mainly looks like most of NC, TN and the south in general sees more of an ice/rain mix scenario with this set up than snow, with mby seeming to get fringed with a cold rain.
 
SimeonNC link said:
Eh, I'm not that excited because it mainly looks like most of NC, TN and the south in general sees more of an ice/rain mix scenario with this set up than snow, with mby seeming to get fringed with a cold rain.
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Specifics do not matter at this juncture. It is the pattern itself & how it plays out is what to look for.  Keep hope alive!
 
Storm said it earlier today, different ways that could potentially play out that could take a lot of us out of the game for a more significant storm. This is one of them, Miller B, with the initial low coming north up the Apps flooding the area with warm air, then transferring to the coast crushing the MA. It's just one of many different OP runs to come.

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Control and EPS says prepare for glory lol

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Storms gonna love the steps the EPS took I think. Clown map for the control is way under done imo. It took an almost Miller A path, just a tad inland. But overall definitely a step in the right direction.

EPS mean
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Control clown
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14/51 member puts my area (East TN) with 12"+. Almost 30% this far out...check plz lol.

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Nice, I think Storm is dreaming about this now??
 
SimeonNC link said:
How does North Carolina look on the EPS
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At this point I think almost everybody on the board is in the game. EPS is looks great for an over running or southern slider/Miller A type. Main thing is the trend is in the right direction I think.

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Would like to see that core band a little farther south. I am getting an uneasy feeling about this one being too far north for some on here
 
Scary part of this is how much the GEFS and EPS are in agreement this far out.

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Yep, it is not normal for this kind of agreement at this range. I believe the overall storm signal has legs. Question is, will the north trend kill our hopes yet again?
 
Cad Wedge NC link said:
Would like to see that core band a little farther south. I am getting an uneasy feeling about this one being too far north for some on here
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Don't pay attention to the Conrol Clown it is way under done in North Carolina. The track would have almost crushed the board lol.



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Better hope the trends stay colder, or a lot of folks in Cad areas of upstate and NC will see a ice storm.
 
Bsudweather link said:
Better hope the trends stay colder, or a lot of folks in Cad areas of upstate and NC will see a ice storm.
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Outside of just a couple ensemble members, this isn't a CAD event. Doesn't mean it can't change to one tho.


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This is why I say the Control didn't add up for especially North Carolina

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Re: January 2017 Discussion

6z GFS = a little snow here, a little snow there...and top it off with a crippling ice storm along NC/SC beaches lol

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SimeonNC link said:
Well 6z GFS was pure dumpster fire from a precrip standpoint.
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what are you talking about? 6z GFS looked better. Especially the second wave
 
accu35 link said:
[quote author=SimeonNC link=topic=60.msg4221#msg4221 date=1483009524]
Well 6z GFS was pure dumpster fire from a precrip standpoint.
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what are you talking about? 6z GFS looked better. Especially the second wave
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Well compared to the 00z it looks worse for most NC, also the cold air seems to arrive slower if I'm not mistaken.
 
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