Pattern January 2017 Discussion

[Storm5]

12z eps

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[Storm5]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg3646#msg3646 date=1482870516]
want a fantasy ???go look at the day 8-9 euro control . omgd haha

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I hate when you guys do this.  Can you elaborate, or post something more concrete???  Thanks
[/quote]

it's just the control but gives an idea . Looks like many gefs members and now eps members

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[Storm5]

HUGE mean increase on the eps vs previous runs

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[NorthGaWinter]

We have a threat, Clark

 

[SnowHusky]

I noticed the 12z GFS is a lot faster than the Euro with that winter wx potential in the first week of Jan. I do believe we have our first biggest winter weather threat of the season. (Well for me anyway). If the GFS holds true, we could see the first threat early as the 4th. 

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[Arcc]

12z eps

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A little farther east with the EPO ridge and we have January 2014 with a -NAO.

 

[Tarheel1]

[quote author=bigstick10 link=topic=60.msg3647#msg3647 date=1482870704]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg3646#msg3646 date=1482870516]
want a fantasy ???go look at the day 8-9 euro control . omgd haha

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I hate when you guys do this.  Can you elaborate, or post something more concrete???  Thanks
[/quote]

it's just the control but gives an idea . Looks like many gefs members and now eps members

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[/quote]
That may be the best map ever!! See the DC snow hole!!! It's a beaut Clark

 

[CummingWx]

[quote author=bigstick10 link=topic=60.msg3647#msg3647 date=1482870704]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg3646#msg3646 date=1482870516]
want a fantasy ???go look at the day 8-9 euro control . omgd haha

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

I hate when you guys do this.  Can you elaborate, or post something more concrete???  Thanks
[/quote]

it's just the control but gives an idea . Looks like many gefs members and now eps members

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

Wow. Even though things will change a million times between now and then, that map reminds me of February 25, 2015 where Birmingham and Atlanta got screwed and the extreme northern suburbs got heavy snow.

 

[Storm5]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg3649#msg3649 date=1482870976]
[quote author=bigstick10 link=topic=60.msg3647#msg3647 date=1482870704]
[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg3646#msg3646 date=1482870516]
want a fantasy ???go look at the day 8-9 euro control . omgd haha

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk

I hate when you guys do this.  Can you elaborate, or post something more concrete???  Thanks
[/quote]

it's just the control but gives an idea . Looks like many gefs members and now eps members

Sent from my SM-G900V using Tapatalk
[/quote]

Wow. Even though things will change a million times between now and then, that map reminds me of February 25, 2015 where Birmingham and Atlanta got screwed and the extreme northern suburbs got heavy snow.
[/quote]
no there would ice below that around bham and atlanta verbatim on the control run

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[Storm5]

[quote author=Storm5 link=topic=60.msg3648#msg3648 date=1482870928]
12z eps

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A little farther east with the EPO ridge and we have January 2014 with a -NAO.
[/quote]
yep it's really close

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[Storm5]

I didn't mean to get a met roast going in the discussion thread my fault. let's try and keep that in the banter thread

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[SD]

I didn't mean to get a met roast going in the discussion thread my fault. let's try and keep that in the banter thread

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Agreed if you guys want to roast Mets or each other go to banter. We are trying to keep things fun but not cluttered

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[David in SW Blount]

Wow. Even though things will change a million times between now and then, that map reminds me of February 25, 2015 where Birmingham and Atlanta got screwed and the extreme northern suburbs got heavy snow.

That was so weird.  I live 25 miles north of downtown Birmingham, and we had 6-8 inches in my community.  You could literally see the accumulations drop off as you drove south out of my neighborhood.  The cutoff between heavy snow and little to none was unreal.

 

[Storm5]

Re: January 2017 Discussion

18z gfs is preparing for glory

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[accu35]

Second wave income, both waves looks good

 

[Storm5]

Re: January 2017 Discussion

gfs s**** the bed with the H5 look
12z gfs

18z gfs

same damn model

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[NorthGaWinter]

Yeah it's does. Still close on the second wave

 

[Storm5]

Yeah it's does. Still close on the second wave

yep no complaints here .  it's fine until truncation

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[SnowHusky]

Re: January 2017 Discussion

18z GFS looks similar as the 12z for the first wave. It's starting to look back the way it was days ago. 

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[Arcc]

I like the idea of the broad based trough. We need it to dig more before the s/w buries out west. Definite overrunning threat should the cards fall right.