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Pattern January 2017 Discussion

The first wave looks like it could turn out to be an I-20 snow event. The 0z Euro has something similar and colder. 540 line coming close down to I-20 with moisture just below it. Also, the 0z Euro does have the 2nd wave like the 12z GFS but it's not a cutter. The 2nd wave could have potential for winter weather as well. I hope it stays active like this all winter.

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there is a constant threat showing for next week in the guidance so why is anyone worrying about a cutter that's 12 days away. if it showed a damn blizzard it would be just as wrong .

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Not worried about a cutter storm, the run had winter storm potential and it cut. I'm excited about the potential
 
Storm5 link said:
there is a constant threat showing for next week in the guidance so why is anyone worrying about a cutter that's 12 days away. if it showed a damn blizzard it would be just as wrong .

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No worries on my side...All options are on the table...10-12 days I'm fine with that...


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So, maybe by this weekend a new threat will be open for the potential of winter weather between the 4th-6th? We've had enough constant runs showing us that somewhere in the SE there will be some type of wintry wx. If not, each southeastern state will get something during that time  (except FL). I don't think there should be a thread on it quite yet.

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No snow in the next 16 days? Yeah right!

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I am getting a little excited now, but can't go all-in, until SD is all in! Where's he at? Dusting off the drums?
 
Tarheel1 link said:
I am getting a little excited now, but can't go all-in, until SD is all in! Where's he at? Dusting off the drums?
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trust me , he is around . you won't see him break out the drums till late week or the weekend IF things still look up

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Many members of the GEFS have Wintry weather.  In fact, few don't through day 16.  Problem is, majority of the good hits are after day 10.
 
Well if you look at the Carolinas in the pic posted by olhausen, the guy could be right about no wintry precip  (outside the mountains) for the next 16 days. Fact is I don't trust any prediction or model outside 3-5 days anyway, but it is fun to see the fantasy storms in different areas. Of course they will probably change 5 times before the date depicted
 
Every GEFS member has snow in RDU by January 10th, with half by the 6th, and although most of the wintry wx is in the fantasy range that's still impressive.
 
Webberweather53 link said:
Every GEFS member has snow in RDU by January 10th, with half by the 6th, and although most of the wintry wx is in the fantasy range that's still impressive.
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Yeah the control drops 10-12" at RDU. Check please
 
I guess Peter's and the Spann gang  forgot how bad they got burned in 2014.
 
Webberweather53 link said:
Every GEFS member has snow in RDU by January 10th, with half by the 6th, and although most of the wintry wx is in the fantasy range that's still impressive.
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that is impressive . would like to see more eps members get on board

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