Storm5
Member
eps is all in between day 8-10. that's when 90 percebt of the mean falls this run
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Pattern January 2017 Discussion
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
WXinCanton
Member
18z is a go per Ryan M.
Cary_Snow95
Member
That's good news if it clobbers us again. Terrible news if it decides to go POOFWXinCanton link said:
C
CummingWx
Guest
With overrunning, one thing that can always help CAD areas of North GA is the development of an in-situ wedge, which keeps us colder longer, so we don't have to worry about a changeover to rain as much as those to our west.
C
CummingWx
Guest
Shawn link said:
Can you post a map of where the 32F line is?
Storm5
Member
Re: January 2017 Discussion
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with this setup the changeover will be from rain to something frozen . as Shane mentioned with the cold push many would change to snow for a few hours regardless of what happens prior . since we are not dealing with a big low changing over to rain wouldn't be that big of a concernCummingWx link said:
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WXinCanton
Member
CummingWx link said:
Don't think this will have much CAD, in situ or True CAD.
True, it also depends on how strong the WAA is and the CAD. If that 2nd wave verifies per 12z GFS far northwestern GA would remain all frozen. ATL, north of ATL and northeast of ATL would change over to rain then changing to snow as the deeper colder air settles in. Ice, then snow on top is bad news for roadways.CummingWx link said:
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Storm5
Member
there is so much that can wrong between now and next Thursday when this starts back in texas. Makes me sick thinking of all the ways we can screw this up while watching the mid Atlantic cash in .
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whatalife
Moderator
LOL! What could possibly go wrongStorm5 link said:
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Storm5
Member
LOL! What could possibly go wrongwhatalife link said:
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for starters , waking up next weekend and realizing that we live in the SE with a wet brown ground
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whatalife
Moderator
LOL! What could possibly go wrongStorm5 link said:
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[/quote]
for starters , waking up next weekend and realizing that we live in the SE with a wet brown ground
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Can't say I've ever had that happen to me...Oh wait never mind...Happens all to often RRRRR.
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Storm5
Member
coast to coast
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The Euro control goes below freezing at RDU on Jan 8th and doesn't get back above freezing the rest of the run. It would also be close to breaking some of the records for the 9th and 10th but probably a little too warm.
Storm5 link said:
I see the Macon heat island is trying to shift northeast
JLL1973
Member
how did the euro look for the northern mississippi and midsouth region
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
On this date in 1935, a classic, prolonged overrunning/Miller B event produced the 2nd major snowstorm in less than a week in central and eastern NC. As much as a foot of snow fell just west and southwest of Charlotte in southwestern NC and extreme upstate SC. A mix of rain, snow, sleet and freezing rain occurred from the Triangle area and points southeastward owards the south-central coastal plain with snow/sleet accumulations topping out around 3-6", while mostly rain fell in the extreme southern coastal plain, including Wilmington. Eventually, most areas south & east of Raleigh changed over to mainly snow overnight on the 29th as a sub 1000mb coastal low developed east of Hatteras. As many here are already well aware, this was only the tip of the iceberg in the winter of 1935-36, as a several more winter storms would hit the state in January & February, making 1935-36 one of the snowiest winters area-wide in much of North Carolina dating back to the late 19th century.
As one would expect from modern relationships amongst southeastern US wintry wx and high-latitude blocking, the first storm, a classic coastal Miller A, not all that dissimilar from its modern cousin in December 2010, featured a robust -AO/-NAO (& even north pacific blocking), while the 2nd system, Miller B/overrunning event, on December 28-29 was dominated by primarily in the north-northwestern Pacific blocking. (-WPO/-EPO)
December 29 1935 US surface maps NOAA 20CRV2
December 26-29 1935 Northern hemisphere z500
December 22-23 1935 US surface maps NOAA 20CRV2
December 21-23 Northern Hemisphere z500 NOAA 20CRV2c
As one would expect from modern relationships amongst southeastern US wintry wx and high-latitude blocking, the first storm, a classic coastal Miller A, not all that dissimilar from its modern cousin in December 2010, featured a robust -AO/-NAO (& even north pacific blocking), while the 2nd system, Miller B/overrunning event, on December 28-29 was dominated by primarily in the north-northwestern Pacific blocking. (-WPO/-EPO)
December 29 1935 US surface maps NOAA 20CRV2
December 26-29 1935 Northern hemisphere z500
December 22-23 1935 US surface maps NOAA 20CRV2
December 21-23 Northern Hemisphere z500 NOAA 20CRV2c