Cary_Snow95
Member
Put a strong high above that and partayyy
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Pattern January 2017 Discussion
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
GaWx link said:
It really gets nuts when crazy uncle Mack shows up!
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I think uncle Mack is here, too, but not as Uncle Mack.
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Tarheel -1, I believe!
Goodness, is it ever going to get cold in FL this winter ? I have a feeling South FL won't get below 50 all winter !Stormlover link said:there comes the change
Rain Cold link said:
It really gets nuts when crazy uncle Mack shows up!
[/quote]
I'm still trying to figure out why this D10 cold pattern is so much more credible than the usual D10+ cold patterns we see winter after winter that either don't pan out or greatly moderate by D0. But the only evidence that anyone has been able to show so far is the latest couple of D10 runs.
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Preach!!! Time out!?
ATLwxfan
Member
Goodness, is it ever going to get cold in FL this winter ? I have a feeling South FL won't get below 50 all winter !SoutheastRidge link said:[quote author=Stormlover link=topic=60.msg3500#msg3500 date=1482789866]
there comes the change
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Well it is Florida
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Jon
Member
Rain Cold link said:
It really gets nuts when crazy uncle Mack shows up!
[/quote]
I'm still trying to figure out why this D10 cold pattern is so much more credible than the usual D10+ cold patterns we see winter after winter that either don't pan out or greatly moderate by D0. But the only evidence that anyone has been able to show so far is the latest couple of D10 runs.
[/quote]
Blocking.
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My god at the 18z GFS! If you want cold and snow, don't even look! The SE ridge is like JB on juice!! There's like 1 day under 50 for the ATL, and it's about day 13! The pushback on the cold arriving, it's happening! Luckily, it's the 18z, so we toss
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There's gonna be pushback. Think back to Jan '14. The cold tried coming several times in December and tried more in Jan. Finally, mid Jan it broke in and all hell broke loose. It's coming...just when is the question.
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Tarheel1 link said:
It really gets nuts when crazy uncle Mack shows up!
[/quote]
I'm still trying to figure out why this D10 cold pattern is so much more credible than the usual D10+ cold patterns we see winter after winter that either don't pan out or greatly moderate by D0. But the only evidence that anyone has been able to show so far is the latest couple of D10 runs.
[/quote]
Preach!!! Time out!?
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Time in.
Rain Cold link said:
It really gets nuts when crazy uncle Mack shows up!
[/quote]
I'm still trying to figure out why this D10 cold pattern is so much more credible than the usual D10+ cold patterns we see winter after winter that either don't pan out or greatly moderate by D0. But the only evidence that anyone has been able to show so far is the latest couple of D10 runs.
[/quote]
I somewhat agree but there is enough reason to believe something like what's showing up will happen. Obviously all blocking is questionable past day 0
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W
WeatherLC
Guest
How about precip guys? Although we have had twin we are still in a serious drought. (At least in N GA)
ATLwxfan
Member
At this point I'll just take normal temps and call it a winter.accu35 link said:
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IMO, the upper portions of the southeast and western sections look to stand the best chances during this period. The orientation of the western ridge dumps the cold more out west this time and the 500mb flow along the southern portions originates off the warmer pacific, moderating the cold push.
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Jon link said:
It really gets nuts when crazy uncle Mack shows up!
[/quote]
I'm still trying to figure out why this D10 cold pattern is so much more credible than the usual D10+ cold patterns we see winter after winter that either don't pan out or greatly moderate by D0. But the only evidence that anyone has been able to show so far is the latest couple of D10 runs.
[/quote]
Blocking.
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It's hard to put to much stock in 10 day modeled blocking, which will likely end up being the 3rd false start of the season.
Storm5
Member
Rain Cold link said:
It really gets nuts when crazy uncle Mack shows up!
[/quote]
I'm still trying to figure out why this D10 cold pattern is so much more credible than the usual D10+ cold patterns we see winter after winter that either don't pan out or greatly moderate by D0. But the only evidence that anyone has been able to show so far is the latest couple of D10 runs.
[/quote]
Blocking.
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[/quote]
It's hard to put to much stock in 10 day modeled blocking, which will likely end up being the 3rd false start of the season.
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based on what?
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If there will be any winter wx 5th-7th it would most likely be ZR cause of the southeastern ridge. Not unless a LP comes up from the east of the southeastern states (Miller A) and allows the colder air to come in on the NW and western side of low and we need a cold high to allow deep cold air to be filtered in.GainesvilleWX link said:
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If there will be any winter wx 5th-7th it would most likely be ZR cause of the southeastern ridge. Not unless a LP comes up from the east of the southeastern states (Miller A) and allows the colder air to come in on the NW and western side of low and we need a cold high to allow deep cold air to be filtered in.NorthGAWinterWx link said:
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[/quote] Yeah i think if we get anything this winter it will be ice and not snow, unless the pattern changes.