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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

Not seeing my fellow NC/Upstate SC peeps on here so that tells me what I wanted to know about my chances of snow...

but what is keeping the snow out of the NC Mountains? That's pretty surprising to see imo. Obviously it's temps but from a more technical standpoint?
 
SnowQueen said:
Not seeing my fellow NC/Upstate SC peeps on here so that tells me what I wanted to know about my chances of snow...

but what is keeping the snow out of the NC Mountains? That's pretty surprising to see imo. Obviously it's temps but from a more technical standpoint?
Click to expand...
It's not temps for people east of the apps. It's lack of moisture due to the trough orientation and lack of tilt at the right time.
 
DopplerWx said:
Sucks seeing this and knowing we won’t see a flake ?View attachment 141779
Click to expand...
Used to, you would see precip breaking out over TX and watch it trek east. Now it goes northeast. I wish we were all tracking this stuff back then so we could have seen what the models were showing and how their solutions evolved as the system took shape.
 
SnowQueen said:
Not seeing my fellow NC/Upstate SC peeps on here so that tells me what I wanted to know about my chances of snow...

but what is keeping the snow out of the NC Mountains? That's pretty surprising to see imo. Obviously it's temps but from a more technical standpoint?
Click to expand...
Timing and or cold isn't making it there until the storm is passed.
 
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson MS
237 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>036-040-041-130545-
/O.NEW.KJAN.WS.A.0001.240115T0000Z-240116T0000Z/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg,
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Cleveland, Indianola, Ruleville,
Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, Carrollton, Winona,
Eupora, Mathiston, West Point, Columbus, Ackerman, Weir,
Starkville, Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula,
Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Mayersville, Rolling Fork,
and Anguilla
237 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
accumulations of up to three inches and ice accumulations up to
a quarter of inch.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana
and central, north central, northeast, northwest and west
central Mississippi.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Icing
could result in power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
 
Rain Cold said:
Used to, you would see precip breaking out over TX and watch it trek east. Now it goes northeast. I wish we were all tracking this stuff back then so we could have seen what the models were showing and how their solutions evolved as the system took shape.
Click to expand...

Seems hard to get southern stream dominant winter threats imo. Every time it's northern stream vort and hoping it digs, amps, farts right at the perfect location. Nino or not it never seems to trek east anymore.
 
NWMSGuy said:
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Jackson MS
237 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024

ARZ074-075-LAZ007>009-MSZ018-019-025>036-040-041-130545-
/O.NEW.KJAN.WS.A.0001.240115T0000Z-240116T0000Z/
Ashley-Chicot-Morehouse-West Carroll-East Carroll-Bolivar-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-
Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Washington-Humphreys-Holmes-Issaquena-Sharkey-
Including the cities of Crossett, North Crossett, Hamburg,
West Crossett, Dermott, Lake Village, Eudora, Bastrop, Oak Grove,
Epps, Lake Providence, Cleveland, Indianola, Ruleville,
Greenwood, Grenada, Vaiden, North Carrollton, Carrollton, Winona,
Eupora, Mathiston, West Point, Columbus, Ackerman, Weir,
Starkville, Greenville, Belzoni, Isola, Durant, Tchula,
Lexington, Pickens, Goodman, Mayersville, Rolling Fork,
and Anguilla
237 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY EVENING THROUGH
MONDAY AFTERNOON...

* WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow
accumulations of up to three inches and ice accumulations up to
a quarter of inch.

* WHERE...Portions of southeast Arkansas, northeast Louisiana
and central, north central, northeast, northwest and west
central Mississippi.

* WHEN...From Sunday evening through Monday afternoon.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. Icing
could result in power outages.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
Click to expand...
i thought it would of been tomorrow
 
iGRXY said:
It's not temps for people east of the apps. It's lack of moisture due to the trough orientation and lack of tilt at the right time.
Click to expand...
Thanks so much! So if we had the precip we would be talking snow here too huh? OK wow.
 
Trigger pulled out of Memphis!! Heavy Snow with 3 to 8 inches possible!


URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Memphis TN
254 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024

ARZ009-018-026>028-035-036-048-049-058-MOZ113-115-MSZ001>017-
020>024-TNZ001>004-019>022-048>055-088>092-130500-
/O.NEW.KMEG.WS.A.0001.240114T1800Z-240116T1200Z/
Clay-Greene-Craighead-Poinsett-Mississippi-Cross-Crittenden-
St. Francis-Lee AR-Phillips-Dunklin-Pemiscot-DeSoto-Marshall-
Benton MS-Tippah-Alcorn-Tishomingo-Tunica-Tate-Prentiss-Coahoma-
Quitman-Panola-Lafayette-Union-Pontotoc-Lee MS-Itawamba-
Tallahatchie-Yalobusha-Calhoun-Chickasaw-Monroe-Lake-Obion-
Weakley-Henry-Dyer-Gibson-Carroll-Benton TN-Lauderdale-Tipton-
Haywood-Crockett-Madison-Chester-Henderson-Decatur-Shelby-Fayette-
Hardeman-McNairy-Hardin-
Including the cities of Piggott, Corning, Paragould, Jonesboro,
Harrisburg, Blytheville, Wynne, West Memphis, Forrest City,
Marianna, Helena-West Helena, Kennett, Caruthersville, Southaven,
Olive Branch, Holly Springs, Ashland, Ripley MS, Corinth, Iuka,
Tunica, Senatobia, Booneville, Clarksdale, Marks, Batesville,
Oxford, New Albany, Pontotoc, Tupelo, Fulton, Charleston,
Water Valley, Coffeeville, Bruce, Calhoun City, Houston, Okolona,
Amory, Aberdeen, Tiptonville, Union City, Martin, Dresden, Paris,
Dyersburg, Humboldt, Milan, Huntingdon, Camden, Ripley TN,
Covington, Brownsville, Alamo, Jackson, Henderson, Lexington,
Parsons, Decaturville, Bartlett, Germantown, Collierville,
Memphis, Millington, Somerville, Oakland, Bolivar, Selmer,
and Savannah
254 PM CST Fri Jan 12 2024

...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 8
inches possible.

* WHERE...Portions of East Arkansas, North Mississippi,
Southeast Missouri and West Tennessee.

* WHEN...From Sunday afternoon through late Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous
conditions could impact the morning or evening commute.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation.
 
Rain Cold said:
Used to, you would see precip breaking out over TX and watch it trek east. Now it goes northeast. I wish we were all tracking this stuff back then so we could have seen what the models were showing and how their solutions evolved as the system took shape.
Click to expand...
Yep. When I was a teenager in late 70s / early 80s, snow in Dallas meant it was ? gonna snow in Atlanta
 
Rain Cold said:
Used to, you would see precip breaking out over TX and watch it trek east. Now it goes northeast. I wish we were all tracking this stuff back then so we could have seen what the models were showing and how their solutions evolved as the system took shape.
Click to expand...
Getting into the it don't work like it used to posts. Nice evolution today
 
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