Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

[malak05]

12z gefs looks more like a ice storm for Alabama. Good members

Honestly GEFS don't really seem to agree too much with Control run alot of members with snow and Ice thru AL/GA not as suppressed

 

[Myfrotho704_]

UK is a TN special

 

[tractor girl]

Looks great for TN and N MS, but not N AL, according to GFS four day accumulation trends.
To be clear, i'd love to see any flakes, but its the tease from earlier in the week.

View attachment 141702

Our friend the northwest trend

 

[RoddyPiper]

Not starting the day off good for 95% of the board!

 

[WSW]

Not starting the day off good for 95% of the board!

Looks pretty good for TN, AR, northern MS and AL and not bad for western VA.

 

[NWMSGuy]

 

[RoddyPiper]

Exactly. I think I can count on 2 hands the number of posting members this may effect (major snow) based on todays trends so far.

 

[WSW]

Exactly. I think I can count on 2 hands the number of posting members this may effect (major snow) based on todays trends so far.

True. Seems most of the board lives in NC or GA.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

 

[accu35]

View attachment 141718

This is not counting the ice which is further south

 

[WEATHERBOYROY]

This is not counting the ice which is further south

I hate to hear that....Do you happen to have any ZR/Sleet maps?

 

[BullCityWx]

Not awful

 

[ILMRoss]

Not awful


View attachment 141729

for real, do not understand the funeral vibes on here. i'm not as sanguine as last night but certainly don't feel shot down, and that's not a product of my latitude. a lot of the SE is in the running for a solid, "yearly climo" satisfying storm. still think there's potential for the carolinas (despite not great steps in this particular suite). not to mention we're still waiting on the euro's take

 

[rburrel2]

This is probably an excerize in futility; but geez the 3km and 12km are vastly different in the cold/dry air push ahead of our storm.

 

[BullCityWx]

for real, do not understand the funeral vibes on here. i'm not as sanguine as last night but certainly don't feel shot down, and that's not a product of my latitude. a lot of the SE is in the running for a solid, "yearly climo" satisfying storm. still think there's potential for the carolinas (despite not great steps in this particular suite). not to mention we're still waiting on the euro's take

I figure the same five people every time must really enjoy throwing funerals ?‍

 

[rburrel2]

Not only are dew points ridiculously different, but surface temps much colder as well on the 3km.

 

[Phil Connors]

This seems to be a common time frame for things to get wonky in the longer range modeling. I wouldn’t lose hope. Once this system gets out, things will clear up a lot.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk

 

[rburrel2]

For any chance of ice/sleet east of the mountains we're going to need the 3km NAM/hi-res GFS to be correct in their depictions at hr60.

The regular GFS and 12km NAM don't have that cold/dry air push.

The hi-res GFS is at 34/5 in my back yard at 7pm Sunday, the regular GFS is 38/18.

 

[iGRXY]

For any chance of ice/sleet east of the mountains we're going to need the 3km NAM/hi-res GFS to be correct in their depictions at hr60.

The regular GFS and 12km NAM don't have that cold/dry air push.

The hi-res GFS is at 34/5 in my back yard at 7pm Sunday, the regular GFS is 38/18.

 

[Windergawx]

always a pleasure coach! you bring out the heart of the team!

for real, do not understand the funeral vibes on here. i'm not as sanguine as last night but certainly don't feel shot down, and that's not a product of my latitude. a lot of the SE is in the running for a solid, "yearly climo" satisfying storm. still think there's potential for the carolinas (despite not great steps in this particular suite). not to mention we're still waiting on the euro's take!