Stormlover
Member
0Z Canadian Ensemble chances of over 3 inches
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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Chattownsnow
Member
GEFS and EPS Literally trending opposite of one another ??
griteater
Member
GFS tried its hardest to go Euro Control on us. “A” for effort on the trend loop here
accu35
Member
- Joined
- Jan 5, 2017
- Messages
- 8,396
- Reaction score
- 9,846
Look at the gefs members. Looks Euro Control also
Euro coming in
First wave shears out after that. Don’t think the second part is going to work out. Looks like a whiff
First wave looks better, second wave has no good tilt it seems
Totals 
Ilovesnow28
Member
@accu35 Hey do you think us folks in south Al have a chance?
From RAH:
As we progress into the Monday night/early Tuesday timeframe,
guidance continues to differ wrt to a developing coastal low, and
the potential (or lack thereof) precipitation for our area. The 00Z
deterministic ECMWF continues to keep the low too suppressed and
offshore to promote much of any precipitation for us. Conversely,
the 00Z GFS does still keep the low strategically positioned to 1)
promote wet conditions and 2) a potential gradient in winter ptype.
Latest ensemble guidance (including the Euro suite) does depict
anywhere from 50 to 60 % of the members (GEFS, ENS, GEPS) simulating
some snow for much of our central/western/northern Piedmont anywhere
from late Monday night through late Tuesday night. Given this,
decided to maintain a southward progression of slight to chance of
rain and snow early Tuesday through early Wednesday morning
primarily through our northern two thirds. However, would like to
see more operational runs over the next several days before
providing any more detail.
As we progress into the Monday night/early Tuesday timeframe,
guidance continues to differ wrt to a developing coastal low, and
the potential (or lack thereof) precipitation for our area. The 00Z
deterministic ECMWF continues to keep the low too suppressed and
offshore to promote much of any precipitation for us. Conversely,
the 00Z GFS does still keep the low strategically positioned to 1)
promote wet conditions and 2) a potential gradient in winter ptype.
Latest ensemble guidance (including the Euro suite) does depict
anywhere from 50 to 60 % of the members (GEFS, ENS, GEPS) simulating
some snow for much of our central/western/northern Piedmont anywhere
from late Monday night through late Tuesday night. Given this,
decided to maintain a southward progression of slight to chance of
rain and snow early Tuesday through early Wednesday morning
primarily through our northern two thirds. However, would like to
see more operational runs over the next several days before
providing any more detail.
Brick Tamland
Member
Kind of meh about this one. Totals don't seem impressive at all here, but it would be nice to see some snow falling.
NCHighCountryWX
Member
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- Dec 28, 2016
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- 469
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- 1,311
WPC GuidanceBlue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Looks like they’re in/gonna be in catchup mode
6z gefs nice increase. 
6z GFS very similar to the gefs. 