Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

[Arcc]

Just for anyone that wants to know, a lot of this ZR is *barely ZR by like the slimmest of margins and could easily be snow.

 

[NCSNOW]

That was good. Need a cigarette now and i dont smoke. Anyway, it can get better, a lot. And it can also head other direction. Fine line, jury is still out.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

This sort of reminds me of the jan 2022 2nd weekend event, just without a stout wedge to introduce a lot more frozen precip

 

[NCSNOW]

Diff in canadian verse gfs. Gfs tracks low across GOM, Canadian way inland. High stakes

 

[accu35]

 

[iGRXY]

CMC sends us a nice inland cutter and the only model remotely showing that which should tell you we got something to actually tract.

 

[LukeBarrette]

LOL CMC

 

[NCSNOW]

CMC sends us a nice inland cutter and the only model remotely showing that which should tell you we got something to actually tract.

Interested in ukmet. Its been a 1000 miles away from all other guidance past 2 runs.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

CMC with a @SD tornado setup. Worth noting the UK isn’t far off ?

 

[Arcc]

View attachment 141597

If you live in south Central AL through Atlanta. Take this run and run like you stole it. Probably a ZR glaze then a very respectable 2-4” snow event. Definitely would like to see the cooler trend continue because dang that is razors edge.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

CMC with a @SD tornado setup. Worth noting the UK isn’t far off ?View attachment 141600View attachment 141601

Did the UK hold that look at 0Z? Haven’t seen anything update for that product.

 

[JLL1973]

Right after the gfs gives the midsouth the middle finger cmc comes right back and burys us. You got to love weather

 

[iGRXY]

CMC with a @SD tornado setup. Worth noting the UK isn’t far off ?View attachment 141600View attachment 141601

While the UK is respected, having the CMC as the only model on your side is not the hill a model wants to be on

 

[NCSNOW]

Did the UK hold that look at 0Z? Haven’t seen anything update for that product.

Pretty much,yes

 

[accu35]

Anyone for round 2?

 

[rburrel2]

Just to recap:

00z Icon is more/less a complete whiff with no storm
12z Euro was mostly a whiff as well.
00z GFS is a perfect track dream scenario.
00z Ukmet is a slightly inland tracking nuke job that's rain east of the apps.
00z CMC is close to an apps cutter with severe weather threat on the coastal plain.

place your bets?

 

[Arcc]

Just to recap:

00z Icon is more/less a complete whiff with no storm
12z Euro was mostly a whiff as well.
00z GFS is a perfect track dream scenario.
00z Ukmet is a slightly inland tracking nuke job that's rain east of the apps.
00z CMC is close to an apps cutter with severe weather threat on the coastal plain.

place your bets?

Honestly based of the past years, my bet would have to be on a complete whiff/no storm at all.

 

[SD]

Folks lets post about the rest of the systems in the January thread please or this is going to get really confusing

 

[SimeonNC]

The 00z UK hasn't come out yet I think, at least not on pivotal. It's still the 12z

 

[Stormlover]

short range canadian, this is ONLY through 6am central monday