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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

gefs is pretty similar to the EPS runs from yesterday with some bigger ice storms in CAD regions, but also some R/S solutions. Interesting run. Definitely more of a western Atlantic ridge response
 
I could be wrong and hope I am, but I bet this is about as good as it’s gonna get.
I just don't see the cold air for a winter storm reaching the Piedmont and coastal areas in time. This screams a Mtn/foothills event and even here in the foothills accumulation is not a given. Need to see where things stand Sunday to hone in on accumulation.
 
was going to comment something like this. gfs ens run is pretty interesting- definitely some changes

bigger SER, sharper trough, and in response.. check out how qpf lurches inland
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i will say this. if this trend continues after me moaning about it all day. this i will take the L and yall will have full right to be mad at me haha
You mean the GFS products were too progressive? LMAO
 
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