gefs is pretty similar to the EPS runs from yesterday with some bigger ice storms in CAD regions, but also some R/S solutions. Interesting run. Definitely more of a western Atlantic ridge response
agreed this is a few nudges away from a m o n s t e r75 miles SE and this is a server melterView attachment 141519
Cant look back at the moment. How did this compared to the 12z?
This was a 15:1 ratio or kuchera?
10:1 ratioThis was a 15:1 ratio or kuchera?
And plenty of time for that to happen.75 miles SE and this is a server melterView attachment 141519
Was trying to figure out the upper end part. Lol10:1 ratio
oh okay, yea 90th percentileWas trying to figure out the upper end part. Lol
I just don't see the cold air for a winter storm reaching the Piedmont and coastal areas in time. This screams a Mtn/foothills event and even here in the foothills accumulation is not a given. Need to see where things stand Sunday to hone in on accumulation.I could be wrong and hope I am, but I bet this is about as good as it’s gonna get.
It hasn't ran quite yetWhos got 18z euro control? Or does it only run at 6z? TIA
7pm and eps after 8pm.Whos got 18z euro control? Or does it only run at 6z? TIA
You mean the GFS products were too progressive? LMAOwas going to comment something like this. gfs ens run is pretty interesting- definitely some changes
bigger SER, sharper trough, and in response.. check out how qpf lurches inland
View attachment 141514
i will say this. if this trend continues after me moaning about it all day. this i will take the L and yall will have full right to be mad at me haha
It would be cool to have an analog snowfall map like this based on a mega-ensemble of all models, rather than it just being based off the GFSCIPS snow map
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