Little more s with snow than 6z
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Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.
- Thread starter TheBatman
- Start date
Little more s with snow than 6z
12z RGEM
buckinbronco
Member
WRF coming in further south with the initial finger of precip than other short range guidance…I know I’m grasping
iGRXY
Member
ICON is digging the energy further west and is stronger vs 6z
rburrel2
Member
Icon has a finger of light snow in the upstate Monday morning. Surface temps aren't great though. Possiblity of some mood flakes at least.
GFS and euro are showing more/less the exact same thing with that band barely making it far enough south and east to clip us Monday morning.
SW mountains are looking great for this front end hit now.
GFS and euro are showing more/less the exact same thing with that band barely making it far enough south and east to clip us Monday morning.
SW mountains are looking great for this front end hit now.
I can see this shifting another 50 miles south with the trends of all the models before go time.
Twister
Member
I know I am going to keep wish casting for that southern trend.
I’m an EMT too so I hope people heed the warning and stay off the roads but it always goes the people who call are the first ones to argue with anything for the most part!
We could only dream
ChattaVOL
Member
Chattanooga could break the streak with this storm… but fully prepared to be heartbroken.
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
iGRXY
Member
850’s are an issue because the trough is too progressive not allowing for any lift to generate precip and slowing it down to allow more colder air to get in place. If the trough goes neutral tilt it will slow allowing the cold air to filter in and precip to drive dynamic cooling. The temps aren’t the issue here because they will be colder just from the slowing of the trough and precip being driven. Everything is dependent on a neutral tilted trough further west
JLL1973
Member
NWMSGuy
Member
Should start seeing Warnings issued this afternoon/evening.
Usmeagle2005
Member
JLL1973
Member
I think that model has surface product issues. If your in Tupelo that’s probably going to be snow or sleet
WXinCanton
Member
WXinCanton
Member
NAM came in a tick north
On Pivotal, that rain in MS is sleet/freezing rain. TT doesn’t depict sleet/freezing as a separate thing for the ICON for some reason. It seems to classify that precip as “rain”.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
On tropical tidbits the surface map only shows rain or snow. I believe the ICON on pivotal weather has snow, rain, and sleet/freezing rain
Looks like a dud for NC. At least it will be dry if we don't get any snow. Rather have that than more rain.
GFS pushing WAA band way down into the Piedmont this run ?
Keep coming south baby
NWMSGuy
Member
GFS is further south in GA
Will be interesting to see which are right.. globals or hi rez
I’m
5 run trend
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?
ForsythSnow
Moderator
All it needs to do is do this at least a couple more times and so many more of us would be in. A day ago and this was all the way in TN too, so fingers crossed this keeps sinking. It's all in the energy still offshore too.
So if it keeps coming south is that going to hurt the low developing and brining in more precip off the coast?
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Boy that’s a big run for Murphy and Nantahala down in SW NC
Mahomeless
Member
So Globals holding serve (maybe shifted 20 miles south or so over the past few runs), but the short range HiRes models really moving this north....I know which basket im putting my eggs in.
GFS doing to me again
And not often we see a south trend. Usually we're hoping for a north trend off the coast.