Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

[Mitch West]

View attachment 141419
Definitely some good possibilities here, Member 16 bomb

Dude there are some bangers in there @Rain Cold

 

[BullCityWx]

Damn

 

[NWMSGuy]

Not in these setups with massive arctic air in place. GFS has 22:1 and 23:1 here in north ala during the main part

How were you able to gather this detail? Would be interested to know the ratios during the main part for Northwest MS.

 

[Stormlover]

How were you able to gather this detail? Would be interested to know the ratios during the main part for Northwest MS.

6z for tupelo, up to 17:1 and 28:1 ratios https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=ktup

 

[Brent]

?

 

[crecre9]

are there any western or mid south people left in here? Curios about our side of the mountain.

Short term trends are slightly good for our areas, but longer term trends have not been great. Its tough to understand what's good for our areas of the SE with the overwhelming number of posts being about whats good for the carolinas. Leads to false excitement sometimes because the posters aren't clear about what area they are referring to.

 

[Stormlover]

Short term trends are slightly good for our areas, but longer term trends have not been great. Its tough to understand what's good for our areas of the SE with the overwhelming number of posts being about whats good for the carolinas. Leads to false excitement sometimes because the posters aren't clear about what area they are referring to.

Trends have been good today for us

 

[griteater]

Damn

View attachment 141420

That was a crazy GFS run. There's too much going on right now. All in the Grand Webb Plan

 

[crecre9]

three day GEFS mean trend mostly holding serve for AL, MS, TN, less high end potential probably.

 

[EmersonGA]

Damn

View attachment 141420

Even without snow this could be a memorable stretch.

 

[NWMSGuy]

6z for tupelo, up to 17:1 and 28:1 ratios https://meteor.geol.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/cobb/cobb.php?model=gfsm&site=ktup

Thanks!

 

[Oconeexman]

That was a crazy GFS run. There's too much going on right now. All in the Grand Webb Plan

Yea I get the feeling there will be some major changes after tomorrow's system pushes through. Putting us in a weekend frenzy of model watching and hopefully all-aboards not cliff diving.

 

[olhausen]

Spire . And the ratio will be well more than the 10:1 is shows

This is why I didn’t get down when the lower totals were popping up yesterday. Temps here will be in the low 20s and lower during the entire event. When adding kuchera I haven’t seen a model run with less than 3 inches. The cold air is going to squeeze every last drop of moisture out the atmosphere. Super high ratios!

 

[Iceagewhereartthou]

Overall, some good trends with the stronger block and the better cold confuence, BUT we need to see that tend continue. This could potentially turn into a good system for many but it could also become a nothing burger at this range. Still not much for the SC peeps yet. We might still end up sitting on the bleachers but maybe we can at least get an invite to the dance?

 

[iGRXY]

 

[rburrel2]

Just going off those changes the cold push should be better out in front.

 

[olhausen]

That’s a beautiful hit even at 10:1 ratios

Kuchera

 

[tractor girl]

Again, that 10:1 is way low

Low as in longitude or amounts?

 

[jrips27]

Just going off those changes the cold push should be better out in front.

 

[iGRXY]