• Hello, please take a minute to check out our awesome content, contributed by the wonderful members of our community. We hope you'll add your own thoughts and opinions by making a free account!

Wintry January 14-16th storm potential.

Looks great for TN and N MS, but not N AL, according to GFS four day accumulation trends.
To be clear, i'd love to see any flakes, but its the tease from earlier in the week.

trend-gfs-2024011212-f108.snku_acc-imp.us_ov.gif
 
Last edited:
well that was a buzzkill (for i85)

gfs and ensembles are drier, flatter, generally less interesting. i told myself i would cut the positivity when the good trends finally stopped... well they stopped. i'm still optimistic though, i don't cliffdive until i get the CAMs to take a crack at things.

if there's any silver lining, it looks like both ops and ens favored a stronger vorticity maximum in the southern nadir of the trough, which i think would support more "late bloomers"

not a great run, especially imo for that intermediate area between obx/tidewater/delmarva and atl. so basically for a center cut slice of the board.
 
BullCityWx said:
Not awful


View attachment 141729
Click to expand...
for real, do not understand the funeral vibes on here. i'm not as sanguine as last night but certainly don't feel shot down, and that's not a product of my latitude. a lot of the SE is in the running for a solid, "yearly climo" satisfying storm. still think there's potential for the carolinas (despite not great steps in this particular suite). not to mention we're still waiting on the euro's take
 
ILMRoss said:
for real, do not understand the funeral vibes on here. i'm not as sanguine as last night but certainly don't feel shot down, and that's not a product of my latitude. a lot of the SE is in the running for a solid, "yearly climo" satisfying storm. still think there's potential for the carolinas (despite not great steps in this particular suite). not to mention we're still waiting on the euro's take
Click to expand...
I figure the same five people every time must really enjoy throwing funerals ?‍♂️
 
For any chance of ice/sleet east of the mountains we're going to need the 3km NAM/hi-res GFS to be correct in their depictions at hr60.

The regular GFS and 12km NAM don't have that cold/dry air push.

The hi-res GFS is at 34/5 in my back yard at 7pm Sunday, the regular GFS is 38/18.
 
rburrel2 said:
For any chance of ice/sleet east of the mountains we're going to need the 3km NAM/hi-res GFS to be correct in their depictions at hr60.

The regular GFS and 12km NAM don't have that cold/dry air push.

The hi-res GFS is at 34/5 in my back yard at 7pm Sunday, the regular GFS is 38/18.
Click to expand...
1705276800-IjErJrUZVdA.png

1705276800-hAobYWpMOTY.png
 
always a pleasure coach! you bring out the heart of the team!
ILMRoss said:
for real, do not understand the funeral vibes on here. i'm not as sanguine as last night but certainly don't feel shot down, and that's not a product of my latitude. a lot of the SE is in the running for a solid, "yearly climo" satisfying storm. still think there's potential for the carolinas (despite not great steps in this particular suite). not to mention we're still waiting on the euro's take!
Click to expand...
 
You must log in or register to reply here.
Back
Top