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January 11th-12th Southern Slider

deltadog03 said:
Well poop
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I cannot believe that we are going to see a snow storm like that in TX. LA and MS and get blanked in GA outside the mountains. In the glorious 70s and 80s that was the western pattern that almost guaranteed we would get a big snow in GA. Still clinging based on that and the fact FFC has introduced the S word into my grid both Friday and Monday. But it’s a thin thread I’m clinging to.
 
Ron Burgundy said:
I cannot believe that we are going to see a snow storm like that in TX. LA and MS and get blanked in GA outside the mountains. In the glorious 70s and 80s that was the western pattern that almost guaranteed we would get a big snow in GA. Still clinging based on that and the fact FFC has introduced the S word into my grid both Friday and Monday. But it’s a thin thread I’m clinging to.
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Yeah I’m not convinced this is the ultimate solution. Mesoscale models might surprise a few folks.


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
 
AFD HUNTSVILLE

AFDHUN



.LONG TERM...(Saturday night through Wednesday)
Issued at 425 AM CST Thu Jan 7 2021

Sunday does look a bit warmer (highs in the lower mid 40s), as high
pressure continues with zonal flow developing over the area. However,
models continue to look more impressive with a wintry system that
quickly moves east into the area on Monday into Monday night. The
track of the developing surface low with this system tracks from the
northern Gulf of Mexico northeast through around the Jacksonville,
FL area. This would be a fairly good track for wintry precipitation
for this area. This system could produce some measurable snowfall
that could be a bit more widespread than the previous system. Still
far out though, so not going to go into too many specifics.
 
From FFC’s AFD this morning re the Monday system. It’s those surface details that have yet to be worked out by the globals that are keeping me at least interested.


Overall upper
dynamical strength and timing has reached better consensus in the
long term guidance, though the thermal profiles and organization
in the lower levels still have quite the discrepancy (GFS with
colder advection farther southward than the Euro).
 
DarkKnight said:
I know it is long range Nam. But looks good for @Brent and would be good for alot of miss, tn and alabama. With that setup. View attachment 63905View attachment 63906
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Wow with a look like that, if I were in the Dallas-Forth Worth metro area and general North East TX area, I would be getting prepared for at least 3 inches of snow(And I'm probably being conservative here).
 
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