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Severe Jan 8-11 2024 System Severe
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Tarheelwx
Member
They are almost always too high on the wind gusts. 50 instead of 60 is still pretty high though. 60 over such a wide area would cause alot of outages.
TW
TW
I only did a quick glance, but it looks like most short range models (FV3, RGEM, WRF, etc) show a similar look. A couple more robust than others like 18z RGEM, RAP, and one of the WRF models. I’m doubtful of anything down here, but it should be a pretty decent event of snow showers across TN and NC/GA mountains regardless.
Brick Tamland
Member
Not sure I have seen gusts that high for such a large area that wasn't due to a tropical system.
Seeing those wind gusts projected here makes me immediately think about Hurricane Irma. We had similar wind gusts well above 60+ mph the entire time. Don’t know how we managed to keep power or avoid any wind damage where I live. Only bad thing is being at work during this. I work a logistics warehouse job so work Tuesday should be fun.??
Impressive modeling no doubt! However, I’m in the RainCold camp. These won’t come close to verifying.
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
I keep expecting these to back off eventually but so far they aren't backing down. ?
Might have to find a way to get the tempest to 33 feet to see how close these forecasts are
ILL BE MONITORING NWS SLACK CHAT GROUP AND RECORDING WIND GUST FROM THEIR OBSERVED READINGS
NCSNOW
Member
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I got 1000 bucks the chestnut oak still want loose those ugly brown hanging on leaves that wait till spring. So annoying, green winter rye yard and it will dribble just a handfull ever so often to ruin the immaculate appeal. We could have 1 inch frzng rn accruel, foot of wet heavy snow on top with 30 mph gust. When it all melts,they will still be hanging on.
Darklordsuperstorm
Member
NWS Mobile isn't pulling any punches ?
Shaggy
Member
Not a fan of how the 3k looks to break the line into more discrete cells as it moves through NC
kennedybb6
Member
Do we expect warnings/watches with this system and if so when? Thanks
Not at all. It turns out that people don't listen to watches and warnings anymore, so they save funding by not issuing them anymore.
Yall be careful with those winds and rain, it's like yall are getting the preview for what's suppose to happen in Maine this week. We are suppose to have sustained 35-40mph winds and gusts up to 70mph+! I hope the winds aren't as bad as they are predicted to be, stay safe!
Large area enhanced risk now
Yes, wind advisory for tomorrow already issued for NC and I'd suggest you pay close attention to National Weather Service and local news for watches/ warnings that will most likely be issued tomorrow. Not sure what part of NC you're in but timing looks to be mid-day tomorrow through tomorrow night, west to east.
kennedybb6
Member
Thanks for all the advice guys I actually work in dialysis unit outside of Charlotte we have no back up generators and just trying to have a plan to get these folks in safely.
I appreciate this board more than you can imagine
Shaggy
Member
Decent sized 10% tornado hatch as well.
