not sure how eventful it will be here in the upstate of SC but all county schools are closed and that late afternoon line looks pretty uniform
The potential is there with individual cells to produce some sporadic intense winds no doubt. Will it live up to it's potential, we’ll know soon enough, but better safe than sorryThis made me go through the hrrr since I don't have the 3k until its done. There are lots of random 70-95mph gusts on the more tame hrrr from mobile to CLT then over to VA Beach
Yeah for sure. I always whack off about 50% from those wind maps and that usually gets you down to the upper range of reality.I was referencing the 70's mph in the triangle.
lol. These are my babies. I enjoy putting them up for my kids but I will say I don’t love doing it as much as I once did. It’s a lot of work and then when it comes time to put them up we’re usually in a soaker of a rain pattern and you can never get everything dried out long enough to put up.wife got on you about getting that work done huh?
Maybe the folks in charge of that should do something about making it more accurate if it's off that much.Yeah for sure. I always whack off about 50% from those wind maps and that usually gets you down to the upper range of reality.
NAM's getting ready to be thrown in the garbage already. NCEP is replacing it. Would suck to loose power without snow and just a cold wind.Maybe the folks in charge of that should do something about making it more accurate if it's off that much.
It's really not "off" that much but is showing the potential with the setup. If an area gets enough instability and a has enough updraft to tap the raging winds just a few hundred feet above the surface, then a brief gust at those speeds is highly possible. It's not a widespread sustained wind mapMaybe the folks in charge of that should do something about making it more accurate if it's off that much.
It's also at 33 ft and a pws on a 4ft dowel rod isn't going to be closeIt's really not "off" that much but is showing the potential with the setup. If an area gets enough instability and a has enough updraft to tap the raging winds just a few hundred feet above the surface, then a brief gust at those speeds is highly possible. It's not a widespread sustained wind map
Yep. I won’t be able to make it but hopefully I’m still on the email listState doing a balloon launch tomorrow?
It's pvc. And do you know why they use 10m? Why not 15 or 8 or some other number? I know it's not really possible to forecast ground speed because of terrain. But I don't remember why the official height is set to 10m.It's also at 33 ft and a pws on a 4ft dowel rod isn't going to be close
Pouring and 44 here. Doesn’t exactly scream storms.32/30 currently, just like you draw it up the night before a severe outbreak lol
Does yours flex in the wind? I think the 33ft is a WMO standard thing no idea why it was selected thoughIt's pvc. And do you know why they use 10m? Why not 15 or 8 or some other number? I know it's not really possible to forecast ground speed because of terrain. But I don't remember why the official height is set to 10m.
Yeah it does a little. Mine is never going to be dead on balls accurate but it'll be in the ballpark....of ground truth, I mean.Does yours flex in the wind? I think the 33ft is a WMO standard thing no idea why it was selected though
Yeah I'd rather just measure 5-8 feet too or put it at about 1 ft to help my lows in winterYeah it does a little. Mine is never going to be dead on balls accurate but it'll be in the ballpark....of ground truth, I mean.
Spent the last hour in the dark taking down my flagpole Christmas tree and outdoor inflatables because I’d like to use them next year. The tree would get sideways in 15’ish mph sustained winds so I figured I might lose her tomorrow. I need a drink
The 4”+ of rainfall and 20-30 mph sustained/40+mph gusts here really has me worried. We’ve gotten significant rainfall the last few weeks that comes every 3-5 days and has dropped at least an inch minimum everytime here. That with the combination of hills/mountains and abundance of creeks, streams, and rivers for runoff and creating flood prone areas has me worried near myself. The severe weather is an after thought in my head right now in mby. The rainfall alone is crazy to see not being driven by a tropical system. I expect numerous power outages and down trees around here.