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Wintry Jan 3-4 2024 System

The difference is the short wave is flatter on the 00Z run. The difference showed up earlier in the run with a little less ridging in the NW.

For the Atlanta area, the best outcome would be something in between. A little less precip, but less WAA could be the way to thread the needle with this novelty system.

18Z:
namconus_z500_vort_seus_43.png

00Z:
namconus_z500_vort_seus_41.png
 
0z Euro does have precip further north but it doesn’t amount to much snow except for a coating in the mountains 5AC56585-6D33-405A-BC90-BBB7AE9F07F0.gif
 
6z NAM continues to back off. Small strip of snow. Goodnight all2DD49082-CAE6-42CD-96B7-ADF94068585E.png
 
Can't tell if I want to book a trip to Boone for skiing or not for this weekend with the flops both ways. Any ideas from more knowledgeable folks? Maybe I can sit on it until Wed/Thurs.
 
This one feels pretty dead! We will always have the 18z NAM yesterday

Maybe some flakes will still fly
 
Yeah, this thing is going to require a very pleasant surprise. Need a massive overperformance on the extant of the precip up to the North
 
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