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Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

We may not get above freezing between the 2 storms. I would expect some loss due to compaction and sublimation.
Never doubt the power of the sun. I’ve seen the sun go scorched earth with full sunshine on snow even with temperatures in the low 20s. The shady spots should be good, though.
 
The avatar is illustrative of Carolinians being snow fans. So I thought...this fits.

Yup. Story of our lives in the QC. Yesterday looked better for us, but today not so much. (BTW your profile pic is very descriptive as to what we Charlottean's have been and will be doing tonight). Wishing you guys in the Triangle all the luck though. :)
 
It's incredible. I've seen snow melt at 20 degrees under bright sunny skies.
I wouldn’t be surprised if a day of full sunshine with a high of 25 is worse for snowcover than a cloudy day with a high of 40. The sun is pretty brutal.
 
I would take 1/3 of this. 18z para

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The Para has sure been a beacon of consistency for the past couple days. Looks like it’s staying the course with its axis of heaviest snow from Greensboro to Durham to Rocky Mount. We’ll see if it’s right. Surely, it’s overdone with amounts at the very least.
 
SREF Plumes will make you feel bullish as this sun sets this afternoon.

I go back to the 12z runs loving Pitt, Edgecombe, Rocky Mount area....gotta love the cluster between 4-6.5 there


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I try to temper expectations but the 18Z GFS shows that NE to SW banding setup over the interior coastal plains that we see whenever we get good events here.....that low strength and placement is textbook perfect for us down here if this pans out.....to bad we cant slow the damn thing down a bit....

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_seus_3.png
 
Nice break in the clouds for a good chunk of NC, should allow for a bit of cooling before the cloud deck moves in later tonight. May not have any impact but worth noting.

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See those low clouds in northeast NC kept temps in the mid 40's here now if it'll clear out I could do some rapid cooling before those clouds move in.
 
The HRRR has been slowly reducing totals for the Triad from around 4" down to 1-3" now.
Looks like a sharp cutoff it’s painting from east to west. Interestingly enough, the opposite of what we normally see. Could easily see Gibsonville getting 2-4” while Winston-Salem gets nearly shutout. NE NC from Henderson to Roanoke Rapids is looking pretty good, IMO. Buckle up, @metwannabe!!!
 
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