Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

[Myfrotho704_]

Lol this orientation of the energy isn’t far off from the one we saw in early January (for a deform), difference is, the NAM isn’t excited

 

[Rain Cold]

GFS para is not backing down, and the Euro is at least showing snow for the northern half of NC. It looks good for seeing snow here, just a matter of if it will accumulate any.

The new GFS is snow happy. At least when it goes operational we'll get fantasy storms again.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

The new GFS is snow happy. At least when it goes operational we'll get fantasy storms again.

Can’t be any worse than the current GFS. I think the last verification score I saw had the GFS as the fourth best global model, aka last.

 

[superjames1992]

I’m definitely concerned about how long it will take for any potential changeover to occur. They always seem to occur later than expected. The storm earlier this month does not inspire much confidence, to say the least.

 

[Rain Cold]

Can’t be any worse than the current GFS. I think the last verification score I saw had the GFS as the fourth best global model, aka last.

I haven't seen. But it's not great.

 

[Rain Cold]

I’m definitely concerned about how long it will take for any potential changeover to occur. They always seem to occur later than expected. The storm earlier this month does not inspire much confidence, to say the least.

I feel like this will have a better shot and could do a little better for more areas. That ain't saying much, though.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

If the NAM continues to suck along with the 3km into tomorrow night, pack it up

 

[NickyBGuarantee]

18z eps??

 

[Myfrotho704_]

18z eps??

 

[snowlover91]

18z cmc had a nice snow still although slightly less than 12z.

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Looks better

 

[Myfrotho704_]

3km looking better

 

[Myfrotho704_]

I approve of this, even areas farther west would see snowflakes mix in

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Goes along with what I've been thinking. However it would be interesting if areas further west see a quick burst of snow

 

[Myfrotho704_]

Goes along with what I've been thinking. However it would be interesting if areas further west see a quick burst of snow

Euro shows that, I think many areas could see some wet snow, and the more Northeast you are towards NE NC, better chance of accums

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Euro shows that, I think many areas could see some wet snow, and the more Northeast you are towards NE NC, better chance of accums

For sure. I think enc has a legitimately shot of maybe seeing an advisory out of this. Especially northeastern nc.

 

[NCSNOW]

I approve of this, even areas farther west would see snowflakes mix in View attachment 67913

Look how far off shore that low is deepening. Just 50 -100 miles futher west,rates will do the trick like they are in ne nc. Looks 1000mb way east of hatteras. Only shot is bombogensis close to coast line. Closer to Wilmington, the better.

 

[tramadoc]

For sure. I think enc has a legitimately shot of maybe seeing an advisory out of this. Especially northeastern nc.

Everything according to models is directly over me for jackpots. Not gonna happen. Mark my words. Too warm boundary layer.

 

[SD]

This would be a win

 

[Logan Is An Idiot 02]

Everything according to models is directly over me for jackpots. Not gonna happen. Mark my words. Too warm boundary layer.

Maybe this one will surprise!