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Wintry Jan 27-28 Snow Potential Official Thread

Yeah that would be the best of both worlds, it's amped but far enough SE to cut down on waa, real curious to see what the Euro shows. Feel like a weaker system with some light snow north of 40 best bet

But this would be nice

1611592309530.png
 

Come to papa.......I prefer my storms to evolve like this....I never want the models showing me getting a good snow 4-5 days out, I would rather they come around in the last 24-36 hrs as the systems are better sampled.....that said this is the CMC sooooooooo grain of salt.
 
Local P&C giving hope as well....those temps though

Wednesday Night
Rain before 3am, then rain and snow. Low around 35. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible.
Thursday
Snow before 7am. High near 43. Chance of precipitation is 80%.
 
Is the v16 cold biased ? View attachment 67765

I haven't tracked it much this winter, but I remember on several systems the GFS showed as snow threats the v16 was warmer and ended up being closer to what transpired. This will be a good test for it since GFS is warmer and it is colder, closer to the CMC/RGEM suite.
 
Canadian and the new GFS were really good for VA and NC. Euro has improved for NC, too. Might not see much or any accumulation, but folks in NC could at least see some snow falling.
 
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