packfan98
Moderator
Allan Huffman’s call map.
That aligns closely with the latest RAP.
The NAM still bothers me to some point. It has increased QPF but it's still not anything worth wild (snow - half to 1" maybe). In a couple of hours we'll have a look at the 12z; hopefully it shows another increase.Looks like it increased totals by at least an inch. Euro looking better, and the other models are holding steady. NAM is out to lunch. I think at least 3 inches for my neck of the woods.
I don't feel great about the south side of the snow at all. Looks like it's going to be a tight gradient between accumulation and ending as a few flakes and I think I'm going to be on the ending as a few flakes side
Yep agree. Once I saw the HrrrRrR tick north with the main axis of accums, the writing was kind of on the wall for me. Models usually tend to see the delayed cooling around the 36-24 hour mark, thus adjusting the totals down across the southern areas. I still think a dusting look doable. Maybe an inch or so across the northern part of Wake.I don't feel great about the south side of the snow at all. Looks like it's going to be a tight gradient between accumulation and ending as a few flakes and I think I'm going to be on the ending as a few flakes side
The 0C line is north of 64 and around the 401 /us1 corridor on the Gfs now for wake . Been creeping north . Anyways , I may have to take away your pants bursting alert .I don't feel great about the south side of the snow at all. Looks like it's going to be a tight gradient between accumulation and ending as a few flakes and I think I'm going to be on the ending as a few flakes side
Looks like it’s raising temps for here as well. Biggest bust potential on the low side for southern wake south . Still thing northern wake north look good , could eat into accums though, 1-3 instead of the modeled 4-5 lol. We will see , 12 hours from now would be nowcasting time .FYI hrrr has been sneakily raising temps across the area the past several runs. Most of TN has gone from 2-4 to a dusting...
Hopefully we don’t see the same for you guys.
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Looks like a typical setup where the winners win around here. MehYep agree. Once I saw the HrrrRrR tick north with the main axis of accums, the writing was kind of on the wall for me. Models usually tend to see the delayed cooling around the 36-24 hour mark, thus adjusting the totals down across the southern areas. I still think a dusting look doable. Maybe an inch or so across the northern part of Wake.
Looks like a typical setup where the winners win around here. Meh