NAO forecast: ~-1.5 sigma
AO forecast :-4 sigma(!)
Both telecommunications stay negative for the majority of January
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Which again is NOT the likely scenario. The only thing we’re confident in is a prolonged period of below average temps. How below? Who knows. Winter weather? Chances increase due to cold air but absolutely no guarantee. Giant monster snowstorms for the Deep South? Not something that should be considered realistically at this point unless you get a storm signal within 150 hours.
laying that snow right where we want it. Now we just need to park a banana high on top of that for the next round. That’s probably not too much to ask I don’t think..
Great minds think alike!brad is no better than a roulette player sitting at the table going all in on a red streak. It works and it makes you look smart until it doesn’t.
Yeah, it's always been a matter of excellent timing in Ga. and now the parameters of that timing have squeezed down to diamond making pressure, lol. But when you get a diamond, oh, boy! Then you get the blizzard It's all about the anomalous storm now. Three or four inches was not so unusual, now it's anomalous. The last time I got anything meaningful was the spring ULL's. Not even zr, and that's easy. Or used to be.Great minds think alike!
If it were my job, I would be conservative as heck too unless I was posting under a pseudonym on social media then I may muse a bit more. Facts are, it just doesn't snow as much as it used to even a decade ago or maybe it just seems that way. It is the safe bet almost every time when discussing mid to long range threats. It's our current reality. It does still get damn cold but just for short periods.
That’s a lot of TUP!! (Time Under Precipitation)Looks like 8 to 10 hours of snow for central NC.
And at hr 156..
Snow packs to the north are fantastic and at the same time, absolutely non-essential. Whether this works out or not, that remain a fact.That right there is why you don’t want to piss away a potential event just in the name of laying down a snowpack to the north. Definitely can work without one.