Mitch is gonna be pissed.Its perfect View attachment 156467
We gotvto enjoy 36 hours of nice agreement for a cold pattern. Now, back to your regularly scheduled programming.Love to see itView attachment 156468
We gotvto enjoy 36 hours of nice agreement for a cold pattern. Now, back to your regularly scheduled programming.
I kind of am too. But I probably have too much PTSD about us getting like 5 days of cold and then flip to warm. But Grit made a good post about it yesterday, so there's hope.I'm skeptical about this being a long duration thing if it happens.
it can be very difficult to predict with the natural variability of the atmosphere having its way as well.
Lmaoooo NEXTMitch is gonna be pissed.
Yes, Good observation. Whatever cold makes it east will not be reinforced and will be quickly replaced with milder air parcels.The flow still looks too fast anyway with no -NAO.
Yeah WWM (new wresting league?), it’s the nature of watching these patterns unfold. Some ensemble runs are going to hit nicely, some are going to be disappointing. Seemingly small differences resulting in the varied solutions. Good potential going forward, but we all know of the pitfalls lurking to spoil thingsThree GFS runs in a row with a western dump. The GEFS has responded and is sending more of a mixed signal for SE cold.
Euro and the Canadian strongly disagree and are all on board for western ridging and a central and eastern US arctic outbreak to ring in the New Year, supported by their ensembles.
Hopefully, the GEFS will come fully back in line over the next day or two.
KATL & west should finish safely above average.Deep breaths people. December is going to finish BN and January is looking good right out of the gate. Statistically, it’s just a matter of time.
Probably a decent one for 40N
Yeah WWM (new wresting league?), it’s the nature of watching these patterns unfold. Some ensemble runs are going to hit nicely, some are going to be disappointing. Seemingly small differences resulting in the varied solutions. Good potential going forward, but we all know of the pitfalls lurking to spoil things
To clarify, the differences in the ensembles I mentioned are centered on our first window of opportunity in the first week of January. All ensembles, thankfully continue to look quite good at the longer ranges and are in close agreement.Yeah looking at the 3 ensembles this morning, big picture wise I don't see much difference in any of them. . I'm sure there are small meteorological differences beyond my amateur eye that make the GEFS kick the can a bit, but overall they still look pretty good to me at H5.
Not to jumble up the disco thread but does anyone have those pretty graphics what show where everybody stands right now temperature wise for the month of December?KATL & west should finish safely above average.