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Pattern Jan 2025 Powered by Rheem AC

I'm skeptical about this being a long duration thing if it happens.
I kind of am too. But I probably have too much PTSD about us getting like 5 days of cold and then flip to warm. But Grit made a good post about it yesterday, so there's hope.
 
Three GFS runs in a row with a western dump. The GEFS has responded and is sending more of a mixed signal for SE cold.

Euro and the Canadian strongly disagree and are all on board for western ridging and a central and eastern US arctic outbreak to ring in the New Year, supported by their ensembles.

Hopefully, the GEFS will come fully back in line over the next day or two.
 
Three GFS runs in a row with a western dump. The GEFS has responded and is sending more of a mixed signal for SE cold.

Euro and the Canadian strongly disagree and are all on board for western ridging and a central and eastern US arctic outbreak to ring in the New Year, supported by their ensembles.

Hopefully, the GEFS will come fully back in line over the next day or two.
Yeah WWM (new wresting league?), it’s the nature of watching these patterns unfold. Some ensemble runs are going to hit nicely, some are going to be disappointing. Seemingly small differences resulting in the varied solutions. Good potential going forward, but we all know of the pitfalls lurking to spoil things
 
Yeah WWM (new wresting league?), it’s the nature of watching these patterns unfold. Some ensemble runs are going to hit nicely, some are going to be disappointing. Seemingly small differences resulting in the varied solutions. Good potential going forward, but we all know of the pitfalls lurking to spoil things

Yeah looking at the 3 ensembles this morning, big picture wise I don't see much difference in any of them. . I'm sure there are small meteorological differences beyond my amateur eye that make the GEFS kick the can a bit, but overall they still look pretty good to me at H5.
 
Yeah looking at the 3 ensembles this morning, big picture wise I don't see much difference in any of them. . I'm sure there are small meteorological differences beyond my amateur eye that make the GEFS kick the can a bit, but overall they still look pretty good to me at H5.
To clarify, the differences in the ensembles I mentioned are centered on our first window of opportunity in the first week of January. All ensembles, thankfully continue to look quite good at the longer ranges and are in close agreement.
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