Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs

[jackendrickwx]

…Alrighty. Snow in the grids for mby

 

[NBAcentel]

 

[Webberweather53]

Noticed that even more with its fairly recent “upgrade”.

The continued slowing trend on the 12z ICON suggests the NAM may be an outlier

 

[NBAcentel]

Oh man

 

[malak05]

RGEM bringing home the goods

 

[NBAcentel]

Oh yeah

 

[Rain Cold]

Oh yeah View attachment 100192View attachment 100193

Man would love to see tha L exiting off of Myrtle.

 

[NBAcentel]

 

[BullCityWx]

Believe it or not the Charlotte area was the best spot for snow east of the mountains this run. Lol View attachment 100175View attachment 100176View attachment 100177

Davidson is like Roxboro. They are gonna get theirs.

 

[malak05]

View attachment 100194

RGEM has a nice hit for upper NC and N.Central MS/AL and NW GA decent but it was close to more

 

[KyloG]

We usually see this reverse as we get closer. But...if it keeps going in this direction, it maybe, just maybe, it'll end up being a bigger deal.

in Jan 2018 we saw miraculous model trends inside 72 hours for both events....for us we need epic good luck. ?

 

[BHS1975]

Oh yeah View attachment 100192View attachment 100193

The ssts are 77F just offshore of NC.


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[NBAcentel]

 

[BHS1975]

Having the euro show anything frozen is a huge plus.


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[Ollie Williams]

Having the euro show anything frozen is a huge plus.


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I remember the February 2020 storm where the Euro has nothing until 24 hours out. I think Globals are trivial at this point.

 

[NBAcentel]

Lol deform band printer go brrr

 

[Deleted member 609]

Lol deform band printer go brrr View attachment 100196View attachment 100197View attachment 100198

Needs to go 20 miles sw

 

[Heelyes]

Lol deform band printer go brrr View attachment 100196View attachment 100197View attachment 100198

Almost something special here, not far from a big storm. It could be nothing still but hard not to get excited.

 

[NBAcentel]

Icon looked better track wise but looks to warm

 

[LukeBarrette]

FWIW Fv3 Hi-Res

 

[Webberweather53]

RGEM is usually way too cold and I don't necessarily trust its depiction of snowfall across NC.

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Icon looked better track wise but looks to warm

Per usual. Always too warm at the surface which throws off the surface precip type depiction.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

That’s a pretty good track from Cataloochee to Beech Mountain.

 

[NBAcentel]

12z GFS coming in even slower

 

[Ollie Williams]

I know I said that the globals are trivial at this point, but the 12z GFS is more slowed down.

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

If this thing goes neg tilt just a touch sooner some of you NC guys are going to get a mega weenie run later today. Wouldn’t surprise me a bit. Happy New Years

 

[NBAcentel]

Cutting off this run

 

[Parker]

Looks like a lot more moisture on the GFS at 54

 

[Webberweather53]

I know I said that the globals are trivial at this point, but the 12z GFS is more slowed down.

I'd argue this is more-so for the NAM and Fv3. Looks like a very real trend here as our wave is getting sampled by RAOBs in the western US

 

[LovingGulfLows]

A lot more neutrally tilted on the GFS.

 

[Fountainguy97]

modernweeniemodernweenie

 

[NBAcentel]

Woah this is a full on cutoff upper level low !

 

[NBAcentel]

!

 

[Jimmy Hypocracy]

Cutting off this run View attachment 100203

That’s different ?

 

[Blue_Ridge_Escarpment]

Wow. A 998 from Darlington SC to Manteo. Woof

 

[LovingGulfLows]

Even N GA Folks get in on some of the action.?

 

[Ollie Williams]

Much better run! Goes to show you how volatile these small changes can be.

 

[Webberweather53]

Diurnal timing w/ this is truly ideal for us in NC & VA

 

[Chandler]

Some eye candy

 

[Ollie Williams]

Diurnal timing w/ this is truly ideal for us in NC & VA

Are you here in NC for this event, or watching from the sidelines in NM?