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Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
- Joined
- Jan 23, 2021
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- 3,897
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- 12,299
- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
Welp, there’s the first one of the season
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Also, with the LP placement as it is above, the precip field would be much healthier on the NW side. We’ve seen this before.
Would think accumulation map would be a little better. But hey not complaining. 
THE NAMMING CONTINUES I KNEW WE WOULD SCORE AT LEAST 1 good NAM 
- Joined
- Jan 23, 2021
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- 3,897
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- 12,299
- Location
- Lebanon Township, Durham County NC
It found a way to skip Atlanta and Columbia so it’s probably legit.
Still going from 85 east at 84.
Still going from 85 east at 84.
A GoM low around Mobile would be a game changer. Miller A which given guidance supports narrow and clear transitions.
Also have to note that this is where we ended up .. also hitting at the best time overnight! 
Also note some of the GEFS have hinted at this sort of evolution but still I wouldn’t expect this to be the end all tell all .. things will change but I hope they don’t
Sweet mother of pearl!!!! LFG!!!
ALL HAIL THE NAM! Bring this one home baby!
ALL HAIL THE NAM! Bring this one home baby!
?
Dewpoint Dan
Member
It shows the snow going poof at the GA border so this is most likely the final outcome.
L
Logan Is An Idiot 02
Guest
I truly hope someone on this board can score from this storm! The southeast deserves something. Good luck to everyone!
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Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
Inside 36-48 hours it is.
accu35
Member
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- Jan 5, 2017
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- 8,654
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- 10,791
It’s just because we’re desperate
Clem282340
Member
If a low just form in gom would that help the upstate manly north of 85 to see a few flakes out of this
The NAM was spot on for the 12/8/17 storm and nobody wanted to give it credit. I said all this earlier, it can get it right sometimes. Hell, the good stuff started at 69. Niiiiceee
Avalanche
Member
Inside 48....
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Ugh even I got nammed. Must not get sucked in.
Avalanche
Member
A lot of good things start at 69
The key will be if we can keep this look through tomorrow 00z if so BOOK IT
Storm5
Member
Better hope something drastically changes after this look . Of course the 3k sucks but this H5 look isn't what our area needs or wants
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Better hope something drastically changes after this look . Of course the 3k sucks but this H5 look isn't what our area needs or wants
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3K nam = ?
Toss that ?
Storm5
Member
Why’s that? What would happened? Make the low go north some??Better hope something drastically changes after this look . Of course the 3k sucks but this H5 look isn't what our area needs or wants
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The 3k NAM looks almost exactly the same as the 12k. Would likely deepen the wave the same way, and boost precip over AL.
Storm5
Member
That's a lot of presumption.likely deepen doesn't excite me . We need a more neutral tilt and earlier . ---- I'll take anything if I have to roll the dice with that look so be it . Better than 70s
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Well, the 3k nam may not suck that bad after all. It’s welcome back at my dinner table anytime.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Maybe snow?
Icon didn’t look great for AL,MS
Edit: Hours haven’t loaded on TT
Edit: Hours haven’t loaded on TT
Fire it up, storm conditions likely north of SAV, Holly ----, big time inbound. This should be a rapidly maturing shortwave cutting off along the gulf coast/lower MS valley. Inside the 3-4 day time envelope. Sub 990 off the VA Capes?
Compared to 32/12km NAM models from the same time frame.Better hope something drastically changes after this look . Of course the 3k sucks but this H5 look isn't what our area needs or wants
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The RGEM is probably closer to what we see
RGEM doesn’t look that far off from something good…iGRXY
Member
If this went on further you would get 2-4 hours of some back side light snow in NE NC as temps are in the mid 30’s and the upper air is right at or below freezing.
LukeBarrette
im north of 90% of people on here so yeah
Meteorology Student
Member
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If the RGEM isn’t the coldest model out of the bunch then that’s not good for the NC folks.
D
Deleted member 609
Guest
Gfs lost everything out west