Double digits up in Avery co ?Much better run! Goes to show you how volatile these small changes can be.
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Double digits up in Avery co ?Much better run! Goes to show you how volatile these small changes can be.
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Are you here in NC for this event, or watching from the sidelines in NM?
You buying that thing going full ULL? ?Couple more of these and this is gonna turn into a legitimate winter storm View attachment 100211
Certainly need more support/trends but direction today has def been positiveYou buying that thing going full ULL? ?
Is this only a nc mountain stormCouple more of these and this is gonna turn into a legitimate winter storm View attachment 100211
Needle threaded this run for sure. It's all so tenuous though - it could fall apart easily whether it's six hours later or six hours quicker.Diurnal timing w/ this is truly ideal for us in NC & VA
you know you're gonna get yours eventually though when we rainlmao I’m chilling in the va snow hole, boy would that piss me off
Trueyou know you're gonna get yours eventually though when we rain![]()
Not necessarily true like been side a little more trending to negative tilt and a little more dig to pop that low and it becomes a bigger hit for all of N. MS/N.AL/N.GA while still dumping on NCNot a great setup for us back west. Great trends for you guys to our east!
I'll take number 20I see you gefs
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For people out "West" basically everybody in MS/AL/GA we always want that trough to dig as much to the gulf as possible and then tilt negative if we can line up that timing with the ColdSo if I'm understanding this correctly, Atlanta's issue is cold air not making it past the mountains? If we want snow what we're basically rooting for is neutrally tilted sooner and further S (which would benefit NC folks)
So if I'm understanding this correctly, Atlanta's issue is cold air not making it past the mountains? If we want snow what we're basically rooting for is neutrally tilted sooner and further S (which would benefit NC folks)
Atlanta isn't inhibited by the mountains, for all practical purpose, Atlanta is the base of the mountains, so we are actually higher then areas to the north and west. Like others have said, we want a more negative tilt and more moisture to drive down the column. The mountains really start blocking the cold air east of Gwinnett county.So if I'm understanding this correctly, Atlanta's issue is cold air not making it past the mountains? If we want snow what we're basically rooting for is neutrally tilted sooner and further S (which would benefit NC folks)
North and east correct. Aka MEAtlanta isn't inhibited by the mountains, for all practical purpose, Atlanta is the base of the mountains, so we are actually higher then areas to the north and west. Like others have said, we want a more negative tilt and more moisture to drive down the column. The mountains really start blocking the cold air east of Gwinnett county.
What do you mean Atlanta is higher than areas north and west. I'm pretty sure there are some higher elevations around Cobb and Paulding.Atlanta isn't inhibited by the mountains, for all practical purpose, Atlanta is the base of the mountains, so we are actually higher then areas to the north and west. Like others have said, we want a more negative tilt and more moisture to drive down the column. The mountains really start blocking the cold air east of Gwinnett county.
What do you mean Atlanta is higher than areas north and west. I'm pretty sure there are some higher elevations around Cobb and Paulding.
Quite a stretch for MBY here east of Atlanta, but if that 500mB upper low goes right overhead as modeled, some pleasant surprises might be in store for the metro Atlanta area.Neutral/neg tilt earlier allows more moisture to wrap around the backside of the system and into the advancing cold air mass. Yes, our benefit is to the benefit of those in the Carolinas(particular N Carolina) as well. You can see it on the GEFS trend @Ollie Williams posted.
72hrs to trend better for us in clt. I’m holding out hope and thankful we have something to watch.
Might go up to mountains sunday night for this if it looks good. Where would be a good place to stay for this kind of set up?
This looks south of gfsUh that precip panel needs to load View attachment 100221
That's about where 2004 was when it bombed out.Uh that precip panel needs to load View attachment 100221