Avalanche
Member
Flattened ridge?
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Wintry Jan 2-4 2022 Winter Weather Event/Obs
- Thread starter SD
- Start date
Parker
Member
GFS and Euro won’t be caught up to the NAM until about 06z tomorrow. ?
A lot of the MA is going to be disappointed with the 00z GFS. I think the dynamics between how separated the wave is from the northern stream is important to determine how much the wave can dig and strengthen.
Broken024
Member
Looks like EPS
This is going to be a thread the needle setup.
0z CMC
Can’t ask for better trends if you live in NC especially since we still have time for this to cook .. what dynamics can still come into play with this sort of situation .. fun to see again still an absolute win would be seeing snow flakes falling from the sky … that’s a pattern change in my eyes lmao ?
olhausen
Member
To the latest gfs run I say ?. The cmc is our new king ?
Brent
Member
0z Euro
Seperation, a little means a lot at this stage, clearly shown on guidance, snow graphics folks look at reflect it. There is a clear handoff to the coast but when, forecasts for TN should increase, VA Capes still suspect back west to Mountains. Mountains look pretty solid, warning cri, top down approach. Shenandoah too, this should be a significant mid latitude cyclone, close to meso resolution and euro was a step towards the NAM. EE
olhausen
Member
Gfs decreased totals after showing 1-2 inches all day. Euro goes up on totals from the morning run. I suspect somewhere between a half and one inch will be a good call for the middle Tennessee area.
Parker
Member
06z NAM is a beaut. Maybe better than 00z. Will post in a second
Last edited:
Parker
Member
Webberweather53
Meteorologist
Very close to delivering a big hit to the mid Atlantic
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
06Z euro really increased snow amounts around here.
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment
Member
Pretty big increase on the 09Z SREF as well. Usually a good 12Z NAM leading indicator.
06z euro ?
Flotown
Member
Can you show us out west please??